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DBU Pokalen

Referee: S Putros

Aarhus Fremad

S S

4–0

Full-time

Brondby

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Fremad Brondby

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

5,5

3,2

Scored

5,5

1,8

Conceded

0,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+5,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sonderjyske	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Thisted FC	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Fremad Amager	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Nykobing FC	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
8	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
9	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	2	0	0	+9	6
10	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
11	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Naestved	3	2	0	1	+5	6
14	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Roskilde	3	2	0	1	+4	6
17	Vanløse	3	2	0	1	+4	6
18	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
19	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
20	BSF	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	AB Copenhagen	3	2	0	1	+0	6
22	HB Koge	3	1	1	1	+1	4
23	Kerteminde	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Brabrand	3	1	1	1	-2	4
25	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	+7	3
26	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
27	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Tårnby FF	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Frem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	FC Nakskov	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Kastrup	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	-2	3
47	Marienlyst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
48	Tuse	2	1	0	1	-4	3
49	Viby	2	1	0	1	-5	3
50	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
51	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
56	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
57	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
95	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
98	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Hedensted	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Kolding IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Allerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Culpa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Frederikshavn	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Jyllinge	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	BSF	2	1	0	1	-4	3
15	Vatanspor	2	1	0	1	-6	3
16	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Kerteminde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Varde	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	SGI	3	0	1	2	-7	1
21	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Mosede	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Munkebo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Marienlyst	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	AB Copenhagen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Tune	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	B 1973 Herlev	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
64	Viby	1	0	0	1	-7	0
65	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
66	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
67	Slagelse B&I	2	0	0	2	-9	0
68	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vejle	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Sonderjyske	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Middelfart	2	2	0	0	+13	6
4	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Aarhus	2	2	0	0	+11	6
6	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
7	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+7	6
9	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Nordsjaelland	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	AB Copenhagen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Fremad Amager	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Jammerbugt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	HB Koge	2	1	1	0	+4	4
20	Brabrand	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
22	Fredericia	2	1	0	1	+7	3
23	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+7	3
24	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
25	BSF	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Tårnby FF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	FC Nakskov	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Skive	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Aalborg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	FC Helsingor	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Karlslunde	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Kastrup	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Kerteminde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Maribo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	BK Union	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Tuse	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aarhus Fremad Brondby

0–1 T. Mikkelsen ⚽

own goal

11′

M. Kirchheiner 🟨

26′

1–1 J. Fechtenburg ⚽

31′

38′

🔁 A. Maxsø

↦ O. Schwartau

39′

🔁 O. Omoijuanfo

↦ M. Kvistgaarden

39′

🔁 B. Riveros

↦ S. Sebulonsen

39′

🔁 N. Vallys

↦ H. Heggheim

Half-time 2–1

2–1 S. Andreasen ⚽

L. From

46′

50′

🟨 M. Greve

M. Kubel 🔁

↦ L. From

63′

🔁 A. Slimane

↦ J. Bell

N. Sauer 🔁

↦ J. Fechtenburg

64′

L. Mortensen 🔁

↦ S. Andreasen

72′

B. Rizvic 🔁

↦ E. Obitsø

72′

S. Buch 🔁

↦ E. Hauge

72′

3–1 M. Kubel ⚽

Marcus Kirchheiner

84′

F. Rieper 🟥

93′

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aarhus Fremad

30 C. Dursun

19 E. Obitsø

6 F. Rieper

17 Marcus Kirchheiner

3 C. Ege Nielsen

8 N. Letort

7 J. Fechtenburg

10 E. Hauge

23 S. Andreasen

11 L. From

27 Magnus Kirchheiner

Bench (9)

9 M. Kubel

26 N. Sauer

21 L. Mortensen

25 B. Rizvic

22 S. Buch

15 M. Holten

29 A. Kock

1 T. Hagelskjær

4 M. Damgaard

Coach: M. Dahm Kjaergaard

Brondby

T. Mikkelsen

S. Rosted

J. Gammelby

S. Sebulonsen

H. Heggheim

M. Greve

J. Bell

23 C. Cappis

M. Divković

M. Kvistgaarden

O. Schwartau

Bench (9)

5 A. Maxsø

9 O. Omoijuanfo

15 B. Riveros

7 N. Vallys

25 A. Slimane

32 F. Alves

1 M. Hermansen

12 C. Björk

29 P. Bjur

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

30. Aug POK 4 years ago

2. Aug POK 4 years ago

Referee

S Putros · 70 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Aarhus Fremad

Brondby

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee