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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Petersen
Sandhausen
U T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Karlsruhe
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandhausen Karlsruhe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
8,0
Scored
4,0
8,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+8,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandhausen 14. · Karlsruhe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Mainz 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +10 3
10 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +8 3
11 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +7 3
12 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Sandhausen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Stuttgarter Kickers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 VfB Lubeck 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Regensburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Braunschweig 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Waldhof Mannheim 2 0 1 1 -1 1
36 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandhausen Karlsruhe
-5′
🟨 Christoph Kobald
0–1 S. Ambrosius
own goal
8′
43′
🟨 Marvin Wanitzek
1–1 A. Zhirov
D. Kinsombi
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Rapp
↦ M. Batmaz
46′
🔁 K. Arase
↦ P. Nebel
Christian Kinsombi 🟨
47′
58′
M. Wanitzek 1–2
Kemal Ademi 🟨
63′
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ K. Ademi
68′
D. Đumić 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
68′
72′
T. Breithaupt 1–3
K. Arase
76′
🟨 Philip Heise
77′
🔁 F. Ballas
↦ S. Ambrosius
Ahmed Kutucu 🟨
86′
C. Soukou 🔁
↦ A. Esswein
89′
93′
🟨 Marco Thiede
105′
🔁 M. Kaufmann
↦ F. Schleusener
Matondo-Merveille Papela 🟨
109′
112′
🔁 Choi Kyoung-Rok
↦ K. Arase
N. Rehnen 🔁
↦ P. Drewes
119′
M. Ritzmaier 🔁
↦ B. Ajdini
119′
120′
🟨 Mikkel Kaufmann
2–3 P. Ochs
121′
122′
M. Wanitzek 2–4
3–4 C. Soukou
123′
124′
J. Gondorf 3–5
4–5 M. Papela
125′
126′
P. Heise 4–6
5–6 J. Bachmann
127′
6–6 M. Ritzmaier
128′
129′
T. Breithaupt 6–7
130′
S. Rapp 6–8
7–8 D. Đumić
131′
132′
M. Kaufmann 7–9
8–9 I. Höhn
133′
134′
Choi Kyoung-Rok 8–10
9–10 A. Kutucu
135′
136′
M. Franke
penalty missed
Full-time 9–10

Line-ups

Sandhausen

4-3-1-2
1 P. Drewes G
19 B. Ajdini D
15 I. Höhn D
2 A. Zhirov D
11 P. Ochs D
26 J. Bachmann M
24 M. Papela M
8 C. Kinsombi M
10 D. Kinsombi M
29 K. Ademi F
30 A. Esswein F
Bench (9)
23 A. Kutucu
3 D. Đumić
7 C. Soukou
22 M. Ritzmaier
33 N. Rehnen
27 A. Sicker
9 M. Pulkrab
6 A. El-Zein
28 T. Trybull

Coach: A. Schwartz

Karlsruhe

4-3-1-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
21 M. Thiede D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
26 P. Nebel M
24 F. Schleusener F
9 M. Batmaz F
Bench (9)
7 S. Rapp
36 K. Arase
4 F. Ballas
14 M. Kaufmann
11 Choi Kyoung-Rok
22 C. Kobald
2 S. Jung
6 L. Jensen
1 K. Eisele

Coach: C. Eichner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.