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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Maae
Hobro
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hobro FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aarhus Fremad 3 3 0 0 +15 9
2 Middelfart 3 3 0 0 +14 9
3 Vejle 3 3 0 0 +10 9
4 Sonderjyske 3 3 0 0 +10 9
5 Thisted FC 3 3 0 0 +6 9
6 Fremad Amager 3 3 0 0 +3 9
7 Nykobing FC 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Aarhus 2 2 0 0 +11 6
9 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +9 6
10 Viborg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
11 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +7 6
12 Ishøj 3 2 0 1 +6 6
13 Nordsjaelland 2 2 0 0 +6 6
14 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +5 6
15 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
16 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +4 6
17 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +4 6
18 FC Helsingor 3 2 0 1 +3 6
19 Jammerbugt 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 BSF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 AB Copenhagen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 -1 6
23 HB Koge 3 1 1 1 +1 4
24 Kerteminde 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Brabrand 3 1 1 1 -2 4
26 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 +7 3
27 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +7 3
28 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +6 3
29 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Skive 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Aalborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Frem 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Karlslunde 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Kastrup 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Hedensted 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Kolding IF 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Culpa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Frederikshavn 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 Jyllinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Tuse 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Viby 2 1 0 1 -5 3
51 Vatanspor 2 1 0 1 -6 3
52 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Odder 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Marstal / Rise 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Varde 2 0 1 1 -2 1
57 SGI 3 0 1 2 -7 1
58 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Klitmøller 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Mosede 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Hillerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 HIK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Dalum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 B 1909 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Munkebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 FB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Såby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 VSK Århus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Vejgaard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 VRI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Esbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Farsø/Ullits 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Solrød 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 BK Union 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 OKS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Tune 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 B 1973 Herlev 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Skovshoved 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Brondby 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Give Fremad 1 0 0 1 -7 0
97 Broager 1 0 0 1 -8 0
98 Øster Hornum 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Slagelse B&I 2 0 0 2 -9 0
100 AIA-Tranbjerg 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hobro FC Copenhagen
1–0 M. Freundlich
4′
Half-time 1–0
O. Overgaard 🔁
↦ V. Bak
46′
46′
🔁 M. Daramy
↦ R. Bardghji
46′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ M. Stamenic
55′
🔁 E. Jelert
↦ P. Ankersen
F. Elkær 🔁
↦ J. Tjørnelund
58′
L. Skjellerup 🔁
↦ M. Brajanac
59′
65′
🔁 V. Kristiansen
↦ V. Lund Jensen
66′
D. Khocholava 1–1
C. Sørensen
L. Deedson 🔁
↦ D. Amankwaa
67′
68′
🟨 L. Lerager
70′
🟨 H. Haraldsson
81′
🟨 H. Haraldsson
81′
🟥 H. Haraldsson
J. Bøge 🔁
↦ M. Freundlich
81′
A. Yoda 🟨
86′
90′
🔁 K. Diks
↦ D. Khocholava
V. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ S. Jakobsen
95′
98′
🟨 W. Clem
99′
🔁 P. Mukairu
↦ W. Clem
112′
🟨 K. Diks
121′
V. Claesson 1–2
2–2 E. Søgaard
122′
123′
M. Daramy 2–3
3–3 F. Elkær
124′
125′
V. Kristiansen 3–4
4–4 L. Skjellerup
126′
127′
C. Sørensen 4–5
L. Deedson
penalty missed
128′
129′
K. Diks 4–6
Full-time 4–6

Line-ups

Hobro

16 J. Fischer
2 S. Jakobsen
4 J. Tjørnelund
18 E. Søgaard
20 V. Bak
13 F. Dietz
7 M. Nygaard
33 M. Freundlich
21 A. Yoda
30 D. Amankwaa
10 M. Brajanac
Bench (8)
24 O. Overgaard
23 F. Elkær
9 L. Skjellerup
11 L. Deedson
3 J. Bøge
17 V. Rasmussen
1 A. Kappenberger
19 D. Jakobsen

Coach: M. Thomsen

FC Copenhagen

51 M. Ryan
22 P. Ankersen
5 D. Khocholava
6 C. Sørensen
27 V. Lund Jensen
12 L. Lerager
30 H. Haraldsson
35 M. Stamenic
40 R. Bardghji
36 W. Clem
18 O. Óskarsson
Bench (9)
15 M. Daramy
7 V. Claesson
19 E. Jelert
34 V. Kristiansen
2 K. Diks
17 P. Mukairu
1 K. Grabara
44 E. Højlund
46 N. Sahsah

Coach: J. Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.