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Super League
Referee: L Piccolo
Luzern
T S T U T
3–3
Full-time
St. Gallen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Super League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 38%
30%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
40%
64%
Both score Ø 62%
50%
73%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 22
9 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 8. · St. Gallen 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 11 7 3 1 +18 24
2 Servette 11 5 4 2 +3 19
3 Sion 12 5 3 4 +0 18
4 St. Gallen 11 5 1 5 +4 16
5 Lugano 11 5 1 5 +1 16
6 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 -2 14
7 Basel 10 3 4 3 +3 13
8 Luzern 10 3 3 4 +1 12
9 Winterthur 12 3 3 6 -15 12
10 Zurich 11 0 5 6 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -22 St. Gallen – Luzern 4–1 18. Apr -22 Luzern – St. Gallen 3–2 19. Mar -22 St. Gallen – Luzern 3–2 24. Oct -21 Luzern – St. Gallen 2–0 1. Aug -21 St. Gallen – Luzern 2–2

Match report

Luzern St. Gallen
1–0 M. Dräger ⚽
P. Dorn
7′
9′
⚽ E. Latte Lath 1–1
I. Schmidt
40′
⚽ J. Guillemenot 1–2
E. Latte Lath
2–2 M. Dräger ⚽
45′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 M. Meyer ⚽
51′
61′
🔁 S. Guidotti
↦ P. Sutter
61′
🔁 J. von Moos
↦ J. Guillemenot
Mohamed Dräger 🟨
65′
Max Meyer 🟨
67′
67′
🟨 Stefano Guidotti
J. Ardaiz 🔁
↦ D. Sorgić
69′
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ M. Dräger
69′
72′
🔁 R. Azevedo
↦ C. Witzig
74′
🟨 Isaac Schmidt
S. Chader 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
77′
83′
⚽ J. von Moos 3–3
R. Azevedo
S. Campo 🔁
↦ P. Schürpf
85′
Marco Burch 🟨
86′
Lorik Emini 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Julian Von Moos
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 M. Müller G
20 P. Dorn D
5 D. Simani D
46 M. Burch D
13 M. Frýdek D
2 M. Dräger M
6 A. Jashari M
31 L. Emini M
7 M. Meyer M
11 P. Schürpf F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (9)
19 J. Ardaiz
21 Asumah Abubakar
69 S. Chader
10 S. Campo
17 T. Klidjé
4 C. Gentner
38 P. Loretz
30 I. Beka
22 N. Toggenburger

Coach: M. Frick

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
30 P. Sutter D
6 B. Stillhart D
5 M. Maglica D
19 D. Guindo D
37 C. Witzig M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
33 I. Schmidt M
77 C. Akolo F
22 E. Latte Lath F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
34 S. Guidotti
11 J. von Moos
28 R. Azevedo
4 L. Stergiou
20 A. Vallçi
24 M. Kempter
23 G. Karlen
29 A. Kräuchi
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Piccolo · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.