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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Cardiff
T T T T U
0–1
Full-time
QPR
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,5
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 29%
19%
38%
Points per game
0,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
56%
69%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 23. · QPR 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 16 11 5 0 +18 38
2 Fulham 15 10 2 3 +22 32
3 West Brom 16 9 4 3 +12 31
4 Coventry 17 9 3 5 +6 30
5 Luton 16 7 5 4 +8 26
6 Swansea 17 7 5 5 +5 26
7 Huddersfield 15 7 4 4 +4 25
8 Middlesbrough 17 7 3 7 +2 24
9 Blackpool 15 7 3 5 +0 24
10 Millwall 16 6 6 4 +0 24
11 Blackburn 15 6 5 4 +7 23
12 QPR 16 6 4 6 +2 22
13 Stoke 15 6 4 5 +1 22
14 Birmingham 17 6 4 7 -3 22
15 Reading 17 7 1 9 -5 22
16 Bristol City 17 6 4 7 -6 22
17 Sheffield United 16 6 3 7 +2 21
18 Preston 16 5 6 5 -1 21
19 Derby 16 3 8 5 -3 17
20 Nott'm Forest 14 4 3 7 -4 15
21 Peterboro 16 4 3 9 -14 15
22 Peterborough 16 4 3 9 -14 15
23 Cardiff 16 3 4 9 -14 13
24 Hull 16 2 3 11 -13 9
25 Barnsley 15 1 5 9 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff QPR
37′
A. Gray 0–1
A. Dozzell
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Robert Dickie
54′
🔁 C. Austin
↦ A. Gray
M. Harris 🔁
↦ K. Evans
63′
78′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ I. Chair
J. Ralls 🔁
↦ W. Vaulks
80′
83′
🔁 L. Amos
↦ A. Dozzell
85′
🟨 Albert Adomah
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
25 A. Smithies G
4 S. Morrison D
16 C. Nelson D
38 P. Ng M
2 M. McGuinness D
36 K. Evans F
21 M. Pack M
6 W. Vaulks M
26 R. Giles M
27 R. Colwill F
10 K. Moore F
Bench (7)
29 M. Harris
8 J. Ralls
7 L. Bacuna
5 A. Flint
35 C. Zimba
1 D. Phillips
30 C. Brown

Coach: S. Morison

QPR

3-4-1-2
1 T. Dieng G
22 M. Odubajo M
6 Y. Barbet D
4 R. Dickie D
20 J. Dunne D
7 S. Johansen M
37 A. Adomah M
10 I. Chair F
17 A. Dozzell M
19 A. Gray F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
11 C. Austin
12 D. Ball
8 L. Amos
14 G. Thomas
34 S. Duke-McKenna
2 O. Kakay
13 J. Archer

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U
3,34
B ✓
2,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.