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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

NAC Breda

U U T U U

1–3

Full-time

Zwolle

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 25%

27%

23%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

60%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 1,56

51% Possession 49%

14 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 14. · Zwolle 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	31	23	5	3	+36	+31.0	74
2	PSV Eindhoven	31	22	4	5	+58	+43.1	70
3	Feyenoord	31	19	8	4	+39	+25.3	65
4	Utrecht	31	18	8	5	+19	+4.1	62
5	Go Ahead Eagles	30	13	8	9	+6	+8.7	47
6	Twente	28	12	9	7	+11	+12.7	45
7	AZ Alkmaar	28	11	8	9	+5	+11.3	41
8	Heerenveen	30	11	7	12	-6	-1.0	40
9	Groningen	31	10	8	13	-8	-6.5	38
10	For Sittard	31	10	6	15	-18	-8.7	36
11	Sparta Rotterdam	30	8	11	11	-3	-0.2	35
12	Heracles	31	8	11	12	-18	-16.7	35
13	Nijmegen	30	9	7	14	+0	+2.5	34
14	NAC Breda	30	8	8	14	-18	-16.2	32
15	Zwolle	30	7	10	13	-13	-21.4	31
16	Willem II	31	6	7	18	-20	-29.0	25
17	Almere City	31	4	8	19	-38	-16.3	20
18	Waalwijk	31	4	7	20	-32	-22.6	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	3	1	+37	+27.8	39
2	Ajax	15	12	3	0	+25	+21.8	39
3	Feyenoord	15	10	3	2	+19	+15.1	33
4	Heerenveen	16	9	6	1	+13	+8.8	33
5	Go Ahead Eagles	15	9	4	2	+12	+13.8	31
6	Groningen	16	8	5	3	+13	+5.5	29
7	Utrecht	16	9	2	5	+4	+6.6	29
8	Twente	14	8	4	2	+12	+12.0	28
9	Heracles	16	6	7	3	+3	+3.3	25
10	NAC Breda	15	6	5	4	+1	+0.6	23
11	Nijmegen	16	5	6	5	+9	+8.9	21
12	Zwolle	15	6	3	6	+2	-4.3	21
13	For Sittard	15	7	0	8	-8	+1.8	21
14	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	3	5	+1	+10.6	18
15	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	6	5	+0	+4.8	18
16	Willem II	15	3	3	9	-5	-10.7	12
17	Waalwijk	15	3	3	9	-10	-6.9	12
18	Almere City	15	2	4	9	-20	-0.3	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	16	11	2	3	+11	+9.2	35
2	Utrecht	15	9	6	0	+15	-2.5	33
3	Feyenoord	16	9	5	2	+20	+10.2	32
4	PSV Eindhoven	15	10	1	4	+21	+15.3	31
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	5	4	+4	+0.7	23
6	Twente	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.7	17
7	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	5	6	-3	-4.9	17
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	4	7	-6	-5.0	16
9	For Sittard	16	3	6	7	-10	-10.6	15
10	Nijmegen	14	4	1	9	-9	-6.4	13
11	Willem II	16	3	4	9	-15	-18.3	13
12	Zwolle	15	1	7	7	-15	-17.1	10
13	Almere City	16	2	4	10	-18	-16.1	10
14	Heracles	15	2	4	9	-21	-20.0	10
15	NAC Breda	15	2	3	10	-19	-16.8	9
16	Groningen	15	2	3	10	-21	-12.1	9
17	Heerenveen	14	2	1	11	-19	-9.8	7
18	Waalwijk	16	1	4	11	-22	-15.7	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.