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Super League

Referee: L Fähndrich

Basel

S S S S S

5–1

Full-time

Servette

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Servette

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,2

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,91 xG 0,68

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Basel 1. · Servette 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	33	18	7	8	+40	+21.2	61
2	Servette	33	15	10	8	+9	+0.2	55
3	Young Boys	34	15	8	11	+6	+8.6	53
4	Luzern	33	14	9	10	+10	+8.3	51
5	Lausanne	34	14	8	12	+9	+10.3	50
6	Lugano	33	14	7	12	+1	+8.8	49
7	St. Gallen	33	12	11	10	+3	-4.5	47
8	Zurich	34	13	8	13	-5	-2.9	47
9	Sion	34	10	9	15	-9	-0.2	39
10	Grasshoppers	34	7	12	15	-13	-10.9	33
11	Yverdon	33	8	9	16	-24	-15.6	33
12	Winterthur	34	9	6	19	-27	-23.3	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	17	11	4	2	+19	+8.6	37
2	Basel	17	11	2	4	+20	+17.4	35
3	Lausanne	18	11	2	5	+14	+10.8	35
4	Luzern	16	9	4	3	+13	+11.1	31
5	Lugano	17	9	4	4	+6	+11.1	31
6	St. Gallen	16	8	6	2	+11	+6.5	30
7	Servette	16	8	5	3	+6	+5.0	29
8	Sion	17	7	7	3	+9	+11.4	28
9	Zurich	17	6	5	6	-4	-2.2	23
10	Winterthur	17	7	2	8	-6	-6.7	23
11	Yverdon	16	6	3	7	-4	-2.1	21
12	Grasshoppers	17	3	8	6	-3	+4.6	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Basel	16	7	5	4	+20	+3.8	26
2	Servette	17	7	5	5	+3	-4.7	26
3	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-1	-0.7	24
4	Luzern	17	5	5	7	-3	-2.7	20
5	Lugano	16	5	3	8	-5	-2.3	18
6	St. Gallen	17	4	5	8	-8	-11.0	17
7	Grasshoppers	17	4	4	9	-10	-15.5	16
8	Young Boys	17	4	4	9	-13	-0.0	16
9	Lausanne	16	3	6	7	-5	-0.5	15
10	Yverdon	17	2	6	9	-20	-13.4	12
11	Sion	17	3	2	12	-18	-11.6	11
12	Winterthur	17	2	4	11	-21	-16.6	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.