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Serie B
Referee: M Marchetti
Reggiana
T S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Palermo
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggiana Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 41%
41%
41%
Average goals
2,1
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reggiana 15. · Palermo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
3 Pisa 22 13 6 3 +16 45
4 Cremonese 22 10 6 6 +10 36
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
7 Palermo 22 8 6 8 +4 30
8 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
9 Catanzaro 22 5 14 3 +4 29
10 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
11 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
12 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
13 Modena 22 5 11 6 -1 26
14 Brescia 22 5 10 7 -3 25
15 Reggiana 22 6 7 9 -3 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 22 5 6 11 -10 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggiana Palermo
1–0 L. Lucchesi
E. Kabashi
14′
25′
P. Ceccaroni 1–1
F. Ranocchia
Half-time 1–1
47′
🟨 Matteo Brunori
2–1 A. Sersanti
A. Vergara
47′
54′
🟨 Rayyan Baniya
Elvis Kabashi 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 V. Verre
↦ C. Gomes
60′
🔁 J. Segre
↦ A. Vasić
M. Marras 🔁
↦ E. Kabashi
73′
L. Vido 🔁
↦ C. Gondo
73′
Manuel Marras 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 S. Diakité
↦ N. Pierozzi
77′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ J. Le Douaron
81′
🟨 Valerio Verre
J. Kumi 🔁
↦ M. Portanova
82′
Antonio Vergara 🟨
83′
J. Sosa 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
88′
88′
🔁 D. Šarić
↦ F. Ranocchia
90′
🟨 Salim Diakité
95′
🟨 Dimitris Nikolaou
Full-time 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,01
U
2,95
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Marchetti · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.