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Serie B

Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi

Sudtirol

U T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Bari

U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

28%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

56%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

64%

56%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

7 Shots 4

1 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 15. · Bari 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	25	16	6	3	+23	54
2	Cremonese	25	13	7	5	+16	46
3	Palermo	25	13	6	6	+16	45
4	Venezia	25	13	6	6	+14	45
5	Como	25	13	6	6	+5	45
6	Catanzaro	25	11	6	8	+4	39
7	Cittadella	25	10	6	9	-1	36
8	Modena	25	8	10	7	-3	34
9	Brescia	25	8	9	8	+1	33
10	Bari	25	7	12	6	-2	33
11	Sampdoria	26	9	6	11	-6	33
12	Cosenza	26	8	8	10	+1	32
13	Pisa	25	7	9	9	-1	30
14	Reggiana	25	6	12	7	-3	30
15	Sudtirol	25	7	7	11	-4	28
16	Ternana	25	6	7	12	-4	25
17	Spezia	25	5	10	10	-13	25
18	Ascoli	25	5	8	12	-7	23
19	FeralpiSalo	25	5	6	14	-14	21
20	Lecco	25	5	5	15	-22	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	8	5	0	+12	29
2	Venezia	13	8	3	2	+9	27
3	Palermo	13	8	1	4	+11	25
4	Catanzaro	13	7	3	3	+7	24
5	Como	12	7	3	2	+6	24
6	Cittadella	13	7	2	4	+5	23
7	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Bari	13	5	6	2	+2	21
9	Modena	12	5	3	4	+1	18
10	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	+4	16
11	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Ternana	13	3	5	5	+1	14
14	Pisa	12	3	5	4	+0	14
15	Reggiana	13	2	8	3	-3	14
16	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	+0	13
17	FeralpiSalo	12	3	3	6	-1	12
18	Spezia	12	2	6	4	-1	12
19	Sudtirol	12	3	3	6	-3	12
20	Lecco	12	3	1	8	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Cremonese	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	Como	13	6	3	4	-1	21
4	Palermo	12	5	5	2	+5	20
5	Venezia	12	5	3	4	+5	18
6	Sampdoria	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Brescia	13	4	5	4	+1	17
8	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Sudtirol	13	4	4	5	-1	16
10	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
11	Cosenza	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	Modena	13	3	7	3	-4	16
13	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
14	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-6	13
15	Spezia	13	3	4	6	-12	13
16	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
17	Ternana	12	3	2	7	-5	11
18	Ascoli	13	2	4	7	-7	10
19	Lecco	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	FeralpiSalo	13	2	3	8	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.