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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Parma

U S U U U

0–1

Full-time

Palermo

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Palermo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

10 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Mantova	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.