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Serie B

Referee: M Volpi

Ternana

T U T S T

0–1

Full-time

Como

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Como

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 37%

23%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

59%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

68%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

7 Shots 28

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 14

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 6

4 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ternana 17. · Como 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	23	14	6	3	+21	48
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+15	41
3	Venezia	23	12	5	6	+11	41
4	Palermo	23	11	6	6	+12	39
5	Como	22	11	6	5	+6	39
6	Cittadella	23	10	6	7	+2	36
7	Catanzaro	23	10	5	8	+3	35
8	Brescia	23	8	8	7	+2	32
9	Modena	22	8	7	7	-3	31
10	Reggiana	23	6	11	6	-1	29
11	Cosenza	23	7	7	9	+0	28
12	Sampdoria	22	8	4	10	-5	28
13	Pisa	23	6	9	8	-2	27
14	Bari	23	5	12	6	-5	27
15	Sudtirol	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Ascoli	22	5	7	10	-5	22
17	Ternana	22	5	6	11	-5	21
18	FeralpiSalo	23	5	6	12	-12	21
19	Spezia	23	4	9	10	-15	21
20	Lecco	22	5	5	12	-17	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	12	7	5	0	+11	26
2	Venezia	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Cittadella	12	7	2	3	+6	23
4	Palermo	12	7	1	4	+8	22
5	Cremonese	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Como	11	6	3	2	+5	21
7	Catanzaro	11	6	2	3	+6	20
8	Modena	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Cosenza	12	4	4	4	+5	16
10	Brescia	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Bari	11	3	6	2	-1	15
12	Reggiana	12	2	8	2	-1	14
13	Ternana	11	3	4	4	+2	13
14	Sampdoria	11	4	1	6	-3	13
15	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+1	12
16	FeralpiSalo	11	3	3	5	+0	12
17	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	+0	12
18	Pisa	11	2	5	4	-2	11
19	Lecco	10	3	1	6	-6	10
20	Spezia	11	1	6	4	-3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	11	7	1	3	+10	22
2	Cremonese	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Como	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Palermo	11	4	5	2	+4	17
5	Brescia	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Pisa	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Venezia	11	4	3	4	+2	15
8	Reggiana	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Modena	11	3	5	3	-4	14
12	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
13	Sudtirol	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Bari	12	2	6	4	-4	12
15	Cosenza	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Spezia	12	3	3	6	-12	12
17	Ascoli	12	2	4	6	-6	10
18	Lecco	12	2	4	6	-11	10
19	FeralpiSalo	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Ternana	11	2	2	7	-7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.