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Championship
Referee: D England
Reading
U T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Cardiff
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 22. · Cardiff 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hull 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Burnley 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Wigan 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Coventry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 West Brom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Swansea 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Luton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
17 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
18 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Reading 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 Stoke 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Cardiff
4′
C. O'Dowda 0–1
R. Wintle
Junior Hoilett 🟨
20′
25′
🟨 Curtis Nelson
1–1 S. Long
27′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Ralls
↦ A. Rinomhota
52′
🔁 M. Harris
↦ M. Watters
2–1 T. Ince
O. Ejaria
63′
65′
🟨 Jamilu Collins
K. Abrefa 🔁
↦ O. Ejaria
66′
73′
🔁 J. Philogene
↦ M. Romeo
73′
🔁 T. Sang
↦ R. Sawyers
73′
🔁 K. Etete
↦ S. Ojo
K. Ehibhatiomhan 🔁
↦ S. Long
81′
Kelvin Abrefa 🟨
86′
Andy Yiadom 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Mark Harris
John Clarke 🔁
↦ J. Hoilett
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Reading

5-4-1
1 J. Lumley G
23 J. Hoilett D
17 A. Yiadom D
3 T. Holmes D
5 T. Mcintyre D
18 N. Guinness-Walker D
10 T. Ince M
19 T. Fornah M
8 J. Hendrick M
14 O. Ejaria M
7 S. Long F
Bench (7)
30 K. Abrefa
35 K. Ehibhatiomhan
33 John Clarke
21 D. Bouzanis
48 B. Tuma
34 L. Holzman
37 K. Leavy

Coach: P. Ince

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 R. Allsop G
2 M. Romeo D
16 C. Nelson D
23 C. Kipré D
17 J. Collins D
6 R. Wintle M
35 A. Rinomhota M
10 S. Ojo M
19 R. Sawyers M
11 C. O'Dowda M
36 M. Watters F
Bench (7)
8 J. Ralls
29 M. Harris
25 J. Philogene
12 T. Sang
9 K. Etete
15 O. Denham
21 J. Alnwick

Coach: S. Morison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
U
3,16
B
2,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,28
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.