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Ligue 2

Referee: M Lesage

Red Star

U T S U U

0–3

Full-time

Pau FC

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Red Star Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/21 matches

Win Ø 42%

45%

38%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

50%

62%

Both score Ø 51%

45%

57%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Red Star 5. · Pau FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	21	12	5	4	+13	41
2	Reims	21	11	5	5	+14	38
3	Le Mans	21	10	8	3	+8	38
4	St Etienne	21	10	4	7	+9	34
5	Red Star	20	9	7	4	+8	34
6	Dunkerque	21	9	6	6	+12	33
7	Guingamp	21	9	5	7	+0	32
8	Annecy	21	9	4	8	+6	31
9	Montpellier	21	9	4	8	+3	31
10	Pau FC	21	8	7	6	-3	31
11	Rodez	21	6	9	6	-3	27
12	Grenoble	21	6	7	8	-5	25
13	Boulogne	21	6	5	10	-9	23
14	Clermont	21	5	7	9	-5	22
15	Nancy	21	6	4	11	-11	22
16	Amiens	21	5	4	12	-9	19
17	Laval	21	3	7	11	-15	16
18	Bastia	20	3	6	11	-13	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Reims	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Le Mans	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Dunkerque	11	5	3	3	+8	18
5	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+0	18
6	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+10	17
7	Montpellier	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Grenoble	11	4	5	2	-1	17
9	Annecy	10	4	4	2	+6	16
10	Rodez	11	3	6	2	+1	15
11	Pau FC	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Clermont	10	3	4	3	+2	13
13	Red Star	9	3	4	2	-1	13
14	Nancy	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Boulogne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
16	Bastia	10	2	3	5	-7	9
17	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-5	6
18	Laval	10	0	3	7	-10	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	11	6	3	2	+9	21
2	Le Mans	10	4	5	1	+4	17
3	St Etienne	11	5	2	4	-1	17
4	Reims	11	4	4	3	+4	16
5	Pau FC	10	4	4	2	-2	16
6	Dunkerque	10	4	3	3	+4	15
7	Annecy	11	5	0	6	+0	15
8	Guingamp	10	4	2	4	+0	14
9	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Troyes	9	3	4	2	+1	13
11	Boulogne	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Amiens	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Laval	11	3	4	4	-5	13
14	Rodez	10	3	3	4	-4	12
15	Nancy	11	3	3	5	-5	12
16	Clermont	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.