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Ligue 2
Referee: F Benchabane
Guingamp
S S S T U
1–2
Full-time
St Etienne
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
41%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
68%
55%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

63% Possession 37%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 10. · St Etienne 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 22 12 5 5 +12 41
2 Reims 23 11 7 5 +14 40
3 Le Mans 23 10 9 4 +6 39
4 Dunkerque 23 10 7 6 +15 37
5 St Etienne 22 11 4 7 +10 37
6 Red Star 22 10 7 5 +6 37
7 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 +4 34
8 Pau FC 23 9 7 7 -1 34
9 Annecy 23 9 6 8 +6 33
10 Guingamp 22 9 6 7 +0 33
11 Rodez 23 8 9 6 -1 33
12 Grenoble 23 6 9 8 -5 27
13 Boulogne 23 7 5 11 -9 26
14 Nancy 23 7 4 12 -11 25
15 Clermont 23 5 7 11 -7 22
16 Amiens 23 6 4 13 -11 22
17 Laval 23 3 9 11 -15 18
18 Bastia 21 3 7 11 -13 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp St Etienne
10′
Z. Davitashvili 0–1
14′
Z. Davitashvili 0–2
I. Cardona
Louis Mafouta 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–2
Alpha Sissoko 🟨
54′
1–2 D. Gomis
Y. Demoncy
60′
J. Hatchi 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
66′
67′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ I. Miladinovic
73′
🟨 Irvin Cardona
S. Kielt 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
75′
Y. Njoya 🔁
↦ F. Mbemba
75′
78′
🔁 J. Duffus
↦ I. Cardona
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
85′
85′
🔁 D. N'Guessan
↦ L. Stassin
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
22 A. Sissoko D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
17 F. Mbemba M
21 Y. Demoncy F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
36 A. Demouchy
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
27 S. Kielt
34 Y. Njoya
3 J. Matumona

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

St Etienne

4-2-3-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
39 K. Pedro D
26 J. Le Cardinal D
3 M. Nade D
11 B. Old D
20 A. Boakye M
14 A. Kante M
7 I. Cardona M
28 I. Miladinovic M
22 Z. Davitashvili M
9 L. Stassin F
Bench (7)
1 B. Maubleu
8 D. Appiah
19 E. Annan
17 J. Duffus
35 L. Gadegbeku
25 D. N'Guessan
29 A. Moueffek

Coach: Philippe Montanier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U
3,33
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Benchabane · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.