Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sheffield Weds
Millwall
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | +28 | +24.6 | 59 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +22 | +24.6 | 54 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +12 | +9.9 | 54 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +5 | +4.7 | 53 |
| 5 |
Hull
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +8 | -14.0 | 51 |
| 6 |
Wrexham
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +5 | -2.7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Preston
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +4 | -9.5 | 47 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | +0.2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Birmingham
|
32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | +4 | +16.2 | 46 |
| 10 |
Southampton
|
30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +8 | +13.7 | 45 |
| 11 |
Derby
|
31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +6 | -3.9 | 45 |
| 12 |
Watford
|
31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | +3 | +5.7 | 44 |
| 13 |
QPR
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -1 | +1.8 | 44 |
| 14 |
Stoke
|
32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +5 | -8.6 | 43 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | -3.6 | 42 |
| 16 |
Norwich
|
32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | +0 | -7.2 | 39 |
| 17 |
Sheffield United
|
31 | 12 | 3 | 16 | -1 | +10.9 | 39 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -8 | -11.4 | 39 |
| 19 |
Leicester
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -7 | -13.5 | 38 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -15 | +3.0 | 34 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -11 | -3.0 | 33 |
| 22 |
Blackburn
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -13 | +2.9 | 32 |
| 23 |
Oxford
|
32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -16 | -9.7 | 28 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Weds
|
31 | 1 | 8 | 22 | -44 | -31.2 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
T. Adaramola
D
S. Ingelsson
M
O. Kobacki
M
Coach: Henrik Pedersen
M. Crocombe
G
T. Crama
D
C. Taylor
D
J. Cooper
D
A. Doughty
D
C. De Norre
M
F. Azeez
M
C. Neghli
M
J. Coburn
F
Coach: Alex Neil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Swansea
Sheffield Weds
Blackburn
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds
Wrexham
Bristol City
Sheffield Weds
Sheffield Weds
Birmingham
E Duckworth · 12 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.