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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Dundee

S T T U T

2–2

Full-time

Livingston

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Livingston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 14%

24%

Points per game

0,9

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

44%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

36%

69%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

1,02 xG 1,44

70% Possession 30%

16 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 9

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee 10. · Livingston 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	26	17	6	3	+28	+12.5	57
2	Rangers	26	14	10	2	+24	+7.2	52
3	Celtic	25	16	3	6	+21	+12.5	51
4	Motherwell	25	11	11	3	+20	+9.3	44
5	Hibernian	26	10	9	7	+10	+1.8	39
6	Falkirk	26	11	6	9	-2	+3.4	39
7	Aberdeen	24	8	4	12	-7	-9.2	28
8	Dundee United	24	5	10	9	-10	-12.2	25
9	St Mirren	25	5	8	12	-14	+1.1	23
10	Dundee	25	6	5	14	-19	-6.8	23
11	Kilmarnock	26	4	8	14	-23	-8.6	20
12	Livingston	26	1	8	17	-28	-11.0	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	13	10	1	2	+20	+11.8	31
2	Hearts	13	9	4	0	+17	+5.5	31
3	Motherwell	13	8	4	1	+17	+9.7	28
4	Rangers	13	8	4	1	+13	+9.6	28
5	Hibernian	13	6	5	2	+11	+5.2	23
6	Falkirk	13	5	5	3	+4	+4.5	20
7	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	-2	+4.3	17
8	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	+4	-4.4	16
9	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
10	Dundee United	12	3	4	5	-5	-6.5	13
11	Kilmarnock	13	3	3	7	-7	-0.4	12
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	-9	-2.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	13	8	2	3	+11	+7.0	26
2	Rangers	13	6	6	1	+11	-2.4	24
3	Celtic	12	6	2	4	+1	+0.7	20
4	Falkirk	13	6	1	6	-6	-1.1	19
5	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	+3	-0.4	16
6	Hibernian	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.5	16
7	Dundee United	12	2	6	4	-5	-5.7	12
8	Aberdeen	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.7	12
9	Kilmarnock	13	1	5	7	-16	-8.2	8
10	Dundee	14	1	4	9	-17	-5.8	7
11	St Mirren	12	1	3	8	-12	-3.2	6
12	Livingston	13	0	4	9	-19	-8.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.