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Premiership
Referee: R Lee
Falkirk
T S T S S
2–3
Full-time
Dundee United
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Falkirk Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 26/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
42%
21%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
42%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,69 xG 1,06
59% Possession 41%
10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Falkirk 6. · Dundee United 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 26 17 6 3 +28 +12.5 57
2 Rangers 26 14 10 2 +24 +7.2 52
3 Celtic 25 16 3 6 +21 +12.5 51
4 Motherwell 25 11 11 3 +20 +9.3 44
5 Hibernian 26 10 9 7 +10 +1.8 39
6 Falkirk 26 11 6 9 -2 +3.4 39
7 Aberdeen 24 8 4 12 -7 -9.2 28
8 Dundee United 24 5 10 9 -10 -12.2 25
9 Dundee 26 6 6 14 -19 -7.3 24
10 St Mirren 25 5 8 12 -14 +1.1 23
11 Kilmarnock 26 4 8 14 -23 -8.6 20
12 Livingston 27 1 9 17 -28 -10.6 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Falkirk Dundee United
1–0 B. Broggio
B. Stewart
17′
24′
R. Graham 1–1
Half-time 1–1
49′
🔁 M. Watters
↦ K. Trapanovski
2–1 F. Lissah
L. McCann
53′
55′
C. Sibbald 2–2
Z. Sapsford
56′
🟨 Ryan Strain
K. Wilson 🔁
↦ L. Marsh
64′
H. Cartwright 🔁
↦ D. Tait
64′
65′
🔁 V. Sevelj
↦ K. Keresztes
Liam Henderson ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
68′
Liam Henderson 🟥
69′
C. Donaldson 🔁
↦ B. Broggio
71′
77′
🔁 J. Eskesen
↦ N. Farrugia
77′
🔁 I. Dolcek
↦ L. Stephenson
E. Ross 🔁
↦ C. Miller
81′
B. Graham 🔁
↦ B. Stewart
81′
83′
J. Eskesen 2–3
I. Dolcek
89′
🟨 Ivan Dolček
90′
🟨 Iurie Iovu
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Falkirk

4-2-3-1
19 S. Bain G
28 F. Lissah D
15 L. Neilson D
5 L. Henderson D
3 L. McCann D
8 B. Spencer M
21 D. Tait M
29 C. Miller M
30 L. Marsh M
11 B. Broggio M
16 B. Stewart F
Bench (9)
1 N. Hogarth
2 K. Adams
6 C. Donaldson
14 F. Yeats
23 E. Ross
22 K. Wilson
17 H. Cartwright
7 B. Graham
10 A. Nesbitt

Coach: John McGlynn

Dundee United

3-4-3
1 A. Maynard-Brewer G
4 I. Iovu D
6 R. Graham D
23 K. Keresztes D
2 R. Strain M
21 L. Stephenson M
14 C. Sibbald M
11 W. Ferry M
20 N. Farrugia F
9 Z. Sapsford F
7 K. Trapanovski F
Bench (9)
25 D. Richards
5 V. Sevelj
10 J. Eskesen
19 I. Dolcek
30 E. Agyei
22 D. Naamo
34 O. Stirton
37 S. Cleall-Harding
36 M. Watters

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,62
B ✓
3,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.