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Ligue 2
Referee: A Perreau Niel
Guingamp
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Troyes
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
74%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 0
7 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 7. · Troyes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 19 12 5 2 +16 41
2 St Etienne 19 10 4 5 +11 34
3 Dunkerque 19 9 6 4 +14 33
4 Reims 19 9 5 5 +12 32
5 Red Star 18 9 5 4 +8 32
6 Le Mans 19 8 8 3 +5 32
7 Guingamp 19 8 5 6 +1 29
8 Annecy 20 8 4 8 +5 28
9 Montpellier 20 8 4 8 +1 28
10 Pau FC 20 7 7 6 -4 28
11 Rodez 20 6 8 6 -3 26
12 Clermont 20 5 7 8 -4 22
13 Grenoble 20 5 7 8 -6 22
14 Nancy 20 6 3 11 -11 21
15 Amiens 20 5 4 11 -8 19
16 Boulogne 19 5 4 10 -10 19
17 Laval 20 3 7 10 -14 16
18 Bastia 19 3 5 11 -13 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Troyes
18′
🟨 Ismaël Boura
Donatien Gomis 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Ouzenadji
↦ I. Boura
51′
🔁 T. Bentayeb
↦ A. Mille
52′
🟨 Anis Ouzenadji
F. Mbemba 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
65′
A. Samoura 🔁
↦ G. Ott
65′
1–0 A. Samoura
Y. Demoncy
68′
72′
🟨 Hugo Gambor
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
78′
78′
🔁 R. Murcy
↦ A. Phliponeau
78′
🔁 E. Odede
↦ M. Detourbet
78′
🔁 M. El Idrissy
↦ R. Ripart
84′
🟨 Adrien Monfray
J. Hatchi 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
85′
Louis Mafouta 🟨
89′
Freddy Mbemba 🟨
97′
Freddy Mbemba 🟥
97′
97′
🟨 Merwan Ifnaoui
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
29 A. Abdallah D
11 A. Sagna M
8 K. Sidibe M
4 D. Louiserre M
24 G. Ott M
21 Y. Demoncy F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
36 A. Demouchy
2 E. Koffi
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
17 F. Mbemba
19 A. Samoura

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Troyes

4-4-2
40 H. Konate G
44 Y. Titi D
6 A. Monfray D
23 H. Gambor D
14 I. Boura D
10 M. Ifnaoui M
17 A. Mille M
26 A. Phliponeau M
11 M. Detourbet M
5 M. Adeline F
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
1 Z. Boucher
2 L. Maronnier
15 A. Ouzenadji
35 R. Murcy
12 E. Odede
21 T. Bentayeb
9 M. El Idrissy

Coach: Stephane Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,65
U
3,08
B
2,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Perreau Niel · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.