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Serie B

Referee: A Zanotti

Catanzaro

T U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Mantova

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

42%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,56 xG 1,70

43% Possession 57%

4 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 11

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Mantova 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	24	15	5	4	+24	+20.7	50
2	Frosinone	24	14	7	3	+22	+5.2	49
3	Palermo	25	13	9	3	+23	+8.0	48
4	Monza	24	14	6	4	+17	+10.0	48
5	Modena	25	11	7	7	+14	+7.1	40
6	Catanzaro	24	10	8	6	+6	-0.2	38
7	Juve Stabia	24	9	11	4	+2	+0.7	38
8	Cesena	24	11	4	9	+2	+6.6	37
9	Sudtirol	24	6	12	6	+1	-4.4	30
10	Carrarese	25	7	9	9	-4	-6.9	30
11	Sampdoria	25	7	8	10	-5	+0.9	29
12	Padova	25	7	8	10	-6	-5.9	29
13	Empoli	24	7	7	10	-4	+0.1	28
14	Avellino	24	7	7	10	-11	-13.6	28
15	Virtus Entella	25	5	10	10	-11	-6.1	25
16	Reggiana	24	6	6	12	-8	-2.8	24
17	Mantova	24	6	5	13	-14	-2.7	23
18	Spezia	24	5	7	12	-10	+1.8	22
19	Bari	24	4	9	11	-17	-13.0	21
20	Pescara	24	2	9	13	-21	-5.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Venezia	12	10	0	2	+17	+10.6	30
2	Palermo	13	9	3	1	+17	+5.3	30
3	Monza	12	9	2	1	+13	+7.4	29
4	Juve Stabia	12	6	6	0	+8	+1.9	24
5	Frosinone	11	7	2	2	+13	+3.2	23
6	Catanzaro	12	6	5	1	+7	+1.7	23
7	Sampdoria	13	6	4	3	+4	+3.1	22
8	Modena	13	6	3	4	+8	-0.7	21
9	Virtus Entella	12	5	6	1	+6	-1.4	21
10	Carrarese	12	5	5	2	+7	+2.2	20
11	Cesena	11	5	3	3	+5	+5.8	18
12	Sudtirol	12	5	3	4	+4	-2.9	18
13	Avellino	12	5	3	4	-3	-8.1	18
14	Empoli	13	3	7	3	+4	+3.4	16
15	Reggiana	12	4	4	4	+1	-1.7	16
16	Padova	12	3	5	4	-1	-4.7	14
17	Bari	12	3	5	4	-3	-6.8	14
18	Mantova	12	4	2	6	-7	+0.3	14
19	Spezia	12	3	4	5	-5	-0.8	13
20	Pescara	13	2	5	6	-5	-3.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Frosinone	13	7	5	1	+9	+2.0	26
2	Venezia	12	5	5	2	+7	+10.1	20
3	Modena	12	5	4	3	+6	+7.9	19
4	Monza	12	5	4	3	+4	+2.5	19
5	Cesena	13	6	1	6	-3	+0.8	19
6	Palermo	12	4	6	2	+6	+2.6	18
7	Catanzaro	12	4	3	5	-1	-1.9	15
8	Padova	13	4	3	6	-5	-1.2	15
9	Juve Stabia	12	3	5	4	-6	-1.2	14
10	Sudtirol	12	1	9	2	-3	-1.5	12
11	Empoli	11	4	0	7	-8	-3.4	12
12	Avellino	12	2	4	6	-8	-5.5	10
13	Carrarese	13	2	4	7	-11	-9.1	10
14	Spezia	12	2	3	7	-5	+2.6	9
15	Mantova	12	2	3	7	-7	-2.9	9
16	Reggiana	12	2	2	8	-9	-1.1	8
17	Sampdoria	12	1	4	7	-9	-2.2	7
18	Bari	12	1	4	7	-14	-6.2	7
19	Pescara	11	0	4	7	-16	-1.8	4
20	Virtus Entella	13	0	4	9	-17	-4.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.