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Ligue 2

Referee: B Roffet

Montpellier

S T S T S

3–1

Full-time

Guingamp

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

20%

70%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 9. · Guingamp 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	20	12	5	3	+15	41
2	Reims	20	10	5	5	+13	35
3	Le Mans	20	9	8	3	+6	35
4	St Etienne	20	10	4	6	+10	34
5	Dunkerque	20	9	6	5	+13	33
6	Red Star	19	9	6	4	+8	33
7	Guingamp	20	9	5	6	+2	32
8	Annecy	20	8	4	8	+5	28
9	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	+1	28
10	Pau FC	20	7	7	6	-4	28
11	Rodez	20	6	8	6	-3	26
12	Clermont	20	5	7	8	-4	22
13	Grenoble	20	5	7	8	-6	22
14	Nancy	20	6	3	11	-11	21
15	Boulogne	20	5	5	10	-10	20
16	Amiens	20	5	4	11	-8	19
17	Laval	20	3	7	10	-14	16
18	Bastia	19	3	5	11	-13	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	Reims	10	7	1	2	+10	22
3	Le Mans	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Dunkerque	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Guingamp	11	5	3	3	+0	18
6	St Etienne	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Annecy	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Pau FC	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Rodez	10	3	5	2	+1	14
11	Grenoble	10	3	5	2	-2	14
12	Clermont	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Red Star	9	3	4	2	-1	13
14	Nancy	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Boulogne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
16	Bastia	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Amiens	10	1	3	6	-5	6
18	Laval	9	0	3	6	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	10	6	2	2	+9	20
2	St Etienne	11	5	2	4	-1	17
3	Dunkerque	10	4	3	3	+4	15
4	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Le Mans	9	3	5	1	+2	14
6	Montpellier	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Reims	10	3	4	3	+3	13
8	Troyes	9	3	4	2	+1	13
9	Amiens	10	4	1	5	-3	13
10	Pau FC	9	3	4	2	-3	13
11	Laval	11	3	4	4	-5	13
12	Annecy	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Rodez	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Nancy	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Boulogne	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Clermont	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Bastia	10	1	3	6	-6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.