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Ligue 2
Referee: K Abed
Lorient
T S S U S
2–0
Full-time
Troyes
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
57%
29%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 39%
57%
21%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,9
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lorient 3. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 14 8 4 2 +11 28
2 Dunkerque 14 9 1 4 +5 28
3 Lorient 14 8 3 3 +11 27
4 Metz 14 7 4 3 +9 25
5 Annecy 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Guingamp 14 7 1 6 +5 22
7 Amiens 14 6 2 6 -1 20
8 Laval 14 5 4 5 +5 19
9 Pau FC 14 5 4 5 -1 19
10 Grenoble 14 5 3 6 +2 18
11 Bastia 14 3 9 2 +0 18
12 Rodez 14 4 4 6 +2 16
13 Clermont 14 4 4 6 -3 16
14 Caen 14 4 3 7 -3 15
15 Ajaccio 14 4 3 7 -4 15
16 Troyes 14 4 3 7 -6 15
17 Red Star 14 4 2 8 -14 14
18 Martigues 14 2 3 9 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Lorient

4-1-4-1
38 Y. Mvogo G
2 Igor Silva D
15 J. Laporte D
3 M. Talbi D
44 D. Yongwa D
6 L. Abergel M
93 J. Mvuka M
62 A. Avom M
10 P. Pagis M
21 J. Ponceau M
27 A. Tosin F
Bench (7)
77 P. Katseris
22 E. Kroupi
28 S. Soumano
24 G. Kalulu
11 T. Le Bris
1 B. Leroy
5 F. Mendy

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Troyes

4-1-4-1
16 N. Lemaître G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
4 J. Diaz D
23 P. Gozzi D
14 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
21 C. Irié M
24 M. Adeline M
10 Y. M'Changama M
11 R. Saïd M
25 P. Ba F
Bench (7)
20 R. Ripart
8 M. Diop
15 J. Assoumou
27 K. Dong
7 X. Chavalerin
6 A. Monfray
1 Z. Boucher

Coach: S. Dumont

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,41
U
4,55
B
6,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.