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Coupe de France

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Olympique d'Alès

U S S

1–2

Full-time

Paris FC

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympique d'Alès Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,7

2,5

Scored

3,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,8

This season — Coupe de France · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

4,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

5 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympique d'Alès 7. · Paris FC 35. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Racing Colombes 92	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Feignies-Aulnoye	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Trélissac	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Romorantin	2	2	0	0	+7	6
7	Olympique d'Alès	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Bergerac	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Caen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
10	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Chambly Thelle FC	3	2	0	1	+5	6
12	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	Quevilly Rouen	3	2	0	1	+5	6
14	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Thionville Lusitanos	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Lyon Duchere	2	2	0	0	+4	6
19	Saint-Priest	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Feurs	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Dinan Léhon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
23	Sarreguemines	3	2	0	1	+3	6
24	Libourne	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Dieppe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
26	Nimes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Angers	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Entente S St Gratien	2	2	0	0	+3	6
29	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+2	6
30	Les Herbiers	2	2	0	0	+2	6
31	Rouen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
32	Avoine OCC	2	1	1	0	+3	4
33	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+3	4
34	Revel	2	1	1	0	+3	4
35	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
36	Louhans-Cuiseaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
37	Cannes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
38	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
39	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
40	Union Cosnoise	2	1	1	0	+1	4
41	Epinal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
42	Mulhouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
43	Paimpol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
44	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
45	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
46	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
47	Blagnac	2	1	1	0	+1	4
48	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
49	Sarre Union	2	1	1	0	+1	4
50	Pontarlier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
51	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
52	Vitré	2	1	0	1	+4	3
53	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
54	Métropole Troyenne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
55	Ajaccio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
56	Villers Houlgate CF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
57	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
58	Martigues	2	1	0	1	+1	3
59	Golden Lion	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
61	Pontivy GSI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
62	Furiani-Agliani	2	1	0	1	+1	3
63	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Castanet	2	1	0	1	+0	3
65	Ergué-Gaberic	2	1	0	1	+0	3
66	Thaon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
67	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	AG Caennaise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
71	Panazol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Villenave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Biesheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
74	Hauts Lyonnais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
75	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	2	1	0	1	-1	3
76	RC Calais	2	1	0	1	-2	3
77	Saint-Meziery	2	1	0	1	-2	3
78	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
79	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
80	Stade Mayennais	2	1	0	1	-8	3
81	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
82	Saint-Omer	2	0	2	0	+0	2
83	Fabrègues	3	0	2	1	-3	2
84	Challans	3	0	2	1	-4	2
85	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Moulien	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Stade Briochin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
104	Thonon Évian	2	0	1	1	-1	1
105	Saint-Denis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
106	Domerat	2	0	1	1	-3	1
107	Chaponnay-Marennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
108	Blériot-Plage	2	0	1	1	-3	1
109	Geispolsheim	2	0	1	1	-4	1
110	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
145	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
146	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
147	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
148	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
159	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
160	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
161	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
162	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
170	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
171	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
172	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
173	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
176	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
177	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
178	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
179	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
180	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
181	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
182	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon Duchere	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Dinan Léhon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Mulhouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Paimpol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Chambéry	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sarre Union	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Avoine OCC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Villers Houlgate CF	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Ergué-Gaberic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Golden Lion	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Sarreguemines	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Pontivy GSI	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	AG Caennaise	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Villenave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
35	Hauts Lyonnais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
36	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	RC Calais	2	1	0	1	-2	3
38	Saint-Meziery	2	1	0	1	-2	3
39	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
40	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
41	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
42	Saint-Omer	2	0	2	0	+0	2
43	Fabrègues	3	0	2	1	-3	2
44	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Metz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Revel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Moulien	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Stade Briochin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
59	Chaponnay-Marennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
60	Blériot-Plage	2	0	1	1	-3	1
61	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Martigues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Chambly Thelle FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Thaon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	Pau FC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
96	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
97	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
98	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
99	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Castanet	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Challans	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
113	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0
114	Stade Mayennais	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Racing Colombes 92	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Trélissac	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Valenciennes	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Romorantin	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Chambly Thelle FC	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Caen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
8	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
9	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
10	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
11	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
13	Libourne	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Nimes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Angers	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	Rouen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
22	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Pontarlier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
25	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
26	Vitré	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Nantes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
33	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	Métropole Troyenne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Furiani-Agliani	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Stade Mayennais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Annecy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Panazol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Biesheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Challans	2	0	2	0	+0	2
55	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Union Cosnoise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Cannes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Avoine OCC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Blagnac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Epinal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Geispolsheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Saint-Denis	2	0	1	1	-2	1
70	Domerat	2	0	1	1	-3	1
71	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Thonon Évian	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Ergué-Gaberic	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
100	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
102	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.