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Championship
Referee: D England
Cardiff
S T U T S
2–0
Full-time
Bristol City
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 42%
46%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
54%
38%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,88 xG 0,95
48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 7. · Bristol City 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 13 12 0 1 +20 +12.1 36
2 Ipswich 12 10 1 1 +13 +8.1 31
3 Southampton 14 7 3 4 -1 +3.8 24
4 Leeds 13 6 4 3 +8 +9.5 22
5 Preston 13 6 4 3 -2 -3.1 22
6 West Brom 13 5 5 3 +6 +0.9 20
7 Cardiff 13 6 2 5 +5 -0.2 20
8 Hull 13 5 5 3 +3 -0.3 20
9 Middlesbrough 13 6 2 5 +1 +8.6 20
10 Sunderland 13 6 1 6 +6 +4.0 19
11 Blackburn 13 6 1 6 -2 -0.3 19
12 Bristol City 13 5 3 5 +1 -0.7 18
13 Birmingham 14 5 3 6 -1 +0.4 18
14 Norwich 12 5 2 5 +1 -1.1 17
15 Watford 13 4 4 5 +0 +1.3 16
16 Millwall 13 4 4 5 -3 -4.3 16
17 Stoke 13 5 1 7 -4 -2.0 16
18 Plymouth 13 4 3 6 +2 -4.5 15
19 Swansea 13 4 3 6 +1 -0.2 15
20 Coventry 13 3 6 4 +1 +5.2 15
21 Huddersfield 14 3 5 6 -13 -5.5 14
22 Rotherham 12 2 3 7 -10 -13.8 9
23 QPR 13 2 2 9 -15 -10.3 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 0 3 10 -17 -7.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Bristol City
9′
🟨 Robert Dickie
1–0 P. Ng
J. Ralls
33′
45′
🟨 Anis Mehmeti
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Conway
↦ S. Bell
Yakou Méïté 🟨
54′
R. Wintle 🔁
↦ J. Ralls
57′
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
57′
67′
🔁 E. Yeboah
↦ A. Mehmeti
O. Tanner 🔁
↦ J. Bowler
72′
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ Y. Meïté
73′
73′
🔁 J. Knight-Lebel
↦ J. James
2–0 R. Colwill
J. Collins
91′
M. Romeo 🔁
↦ P. Ng
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
21 J. Alnwick G
38 P. Ng D
4 D. Goutas D
5 M. McGuinness D
17 J. Collins D
23 M. Siopis M
8 J. Ralls M
14 J. Bowler M
47 C. Robinson M
16 K. Ahearne-Grant M
22 Y. Meïté F
Bench (9)
6 R. Wintle
27 R. Colwill
32 O. Tanner
12 I. Ugbo
2 M. Romeo
18 E. Adams
24 J. Panzo
19 R. Sawyers
13 R. Rúnarsson

Coach: E. Bulut

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
1 M. O’Leary G
34 J. James D
16 R. Dickie D
3 C. Pring D
17 M. Sykes D
22 T. Gardner-Hickman M
12 J. Knight M
14 A. Weimann M
11 A. Mehmeti M
20 S. Bell M
9 H. Cornick F
Bench (8)
15 T. Conway
29 E. Yeboah
27 J. Knight-Lebel
32 L. Thomas
37 T. Backwell
35 D. Idehen
30 R. Nelson
23 S. Bajić

Coach: N. Pearson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,32
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D England · 172 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.