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Super League
Referee: M Turkes
Zurich
U S S S U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lausanne Ouchy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 38%
55%
20%
Points per game
2,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
64%
80%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,74 xG 0,43
56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 1. · Lausanne Ouchy 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 11 6 5 0 +13 -1.2 23
2 Young Boys 10 6 3 1 +11 +1.0 21
3 St. Gallen 12 6 3 3 +7 +4.7 21
4 Luzern 11 5 3 3 +0 +1.0 18
5 Winterthur 12 4 4 4 -1 +0.4 16
6 Servette 11 4 4 3 -1 +2.0 16
7 Yverdon 12 4 4 4 -5 -5.1 16
8 Lugano 10 5 0 5 +2 +3.0 15
9 Grasshoppers 12 3 2 7 -4 -1.7 11
10 Lausanne 11 2 3 6 -5 +0.0 9
11 Lausanne Ouchy 10 2 3 5 -8 -0.5 9
12 Basel 10 1 2 7 -9 -3.6 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Lausanne Ouchy
24′
Ismaël Gharbi 0–1
E. Mahmoud
Daniel Afriyie 🟨
28′
S. Wallner 🔁
↦ F. Daprelà
31′
40′
🟨 Sahmkou Camara
1–1 J. Okita
44′
Half-time 1–1
67′
🔁 Giovani Bamba
↦ M. Qarri
67′
🔁 E. Essiam
↦ Ismaël Gharbi
Adrián Guerrero 🔁
↦ D. Afriyie
72′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
72′
77′
🔁 L. Mulaj
↦ E. Mahmoud
80′
🟨 Lucas Pos
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ J. Okita
82′
I. Santini 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
82′
87′
🔁 R. Bayard
↦ E. Akichi
Nikola Katić 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-2-1
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
24 N. Katić D
5 F. Daprelà D
19 N. Boranijašević M
17 C. Conde M
12 I. Mathew M
27 Rodrigo Conceição M
10 A. Marchesano F
11 J. Okita F
18 D. Afriyie F
Bench (9)
4 S. Wallner
3 Adrián Guerrero
7 B. Krasniqi
23 F. Rohner
9 I. Santini
22 A. Oko-Flex
31 M. Kryeziu
1 Ž. Kostadinović
16 M. Hornschuh

Coach: B. Henriksen

Lausanne Ouchy

4-1-4-1
1 D. Da Silva G
49 S. Camara D
23 R. Kadima D
5 L. Hajrulahu D
4 L. Pos D
24 E. Akichi M
28 E. Mahmoud M
10 M. Qarri M
14 Ismaël Gharbi M
17 A. Ajdini M
31 F. Danho F
Bench (6)
6 Giovani Bamba
15 E. Essiam
18 L. Mulaj
8 R. Bayard
30 T. Zesiger
19 D. Ouedraogo

Coach: A. Braizat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Turkes · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.