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Ligue 2
Caen
U T S T U
4–0
Full-time
Nimes
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nimes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
26%
39%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
39%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

18 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Caen 15. · Nimes 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 24 13 9 2 +31 48
2 Paris FC 23 13 5 5 +12 44
3 Ajaccio 23 12 6 5 +9 42
4 Sochaux 23 11 8 4 +6 41
5 Auxerre 23 10 8 5 +9 38
6 Niort 22 10 5 7 +6 35
7 Le Havre 23 8 11 4 +6 35
8 Nimes 23 9 5 9 +2 32
9 Pau FC 23 8 5 10 -3 29
10 Rodez 23 7 8 8 -3 29
11 Dijon 23 9 2 12 -4 29
12 Quevilly Rouen 23 7 7 9 -8 28
13 Guingamp 23 6 9 8 -7 27
14 Amiens 23 5 11 7 +5 26
15 Caen 23 6 8 9 +0 26
16 Valenciennes 24 6 8 10 -10 26
17 Bastia 23 5 10 8 -1 25
18 Grenoble 22 6 4 12 -11 22
19 Dunkerque 23 5 6 12 -12 21
20 Nancy 23 3 7 13 -27 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,31
U
3,02
B
3,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,31
U2,5
1,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.