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Ligue 2

Referee: W Toulliou

Niort

T S T T U

1–2

Full-time

Caen

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Niort Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 33%

23%

42%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

55%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

58%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Niort 20. · Caen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	31	17	13	1	+27	64
2	Metz	32	16	10	6	+23	58
3	Bordeaux	31	16	8	7	+16	56
4	Sochaux	31	15	7	9	+22	52
5	Bastia	31	15	6	10	+4	51
6	Caen	31	13	10	8	+7	49
7	Grenoble	31	13	8	10	+3	47
8	St Etienne	32	12	9	11	+2	45
9	Quevilly Rouen	31	11	10	10	+1	43
10	Guingamp	31	11	9	11	+0	42
11	Paris FC	31	11	7	13	-4	40
12	Amiens	31	11	7	13	-7	40
13	Rodez	31	9	10	12	-7	37
14	Pau FC	31	9	10	12	-9	37
15	Annecy	31	9	9	13	-10	36
16	Valenciennes	31	7	13	11	-8	34
17	Laval	31	9	4	18	-13	31
18	Dijon	31	7	9	15	-10	30
19	Nimes	31	8	5	18	-13	29
20	Niort	31	7	6	18	-24	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	16	10	5	1	+15	35
2	Le Havre	15	9	6	0	+14	33
3	Bastia	16	10	2	4	+10	32
4	Sochaux	16	9	4	3	+17	31
5	Bordeaux	15	9	4	2	+12	31
6	Metz	16	8	6	2	+11	30
7	Grenoble	16	8	4	4	+3	28
8	Quevilly Rouen	16	6	7	3	+6	25
9	Valenciennes	16	5	10	1	+5	25
10	St Etienne	16	7	4	5	+2	25
11	Amiens	15	7	3	5	+2	24
12	Annecy	15	7	3	5	+1	24
13	Dijon	16	6	5	5	+1	23
14	Nimes	15	7	1	7	+2	22
15	Guingamp	16	5	3	8	-2	18
16	Pau FC	15	4	6	5	-4	18
17	Laval	15	5	2	8	-2	17
18	Rodez	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Niort	15	5	2	8	-9	17
20	Paris FC	15	4	3	8	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	16	8	7	1	+13	31
2	Metz	16	8	4	4	+12	28
3	Bordeaux	16	7	4	5	+4	25
4	Paris FC	16	7	4	5	+0	25
5	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+2	24
6	Sochaux	15	6	3	6	+5	21
7	Rodez	15	5	5	5	+1	20
8	St Etienne	16	5	5	6	+0	20
9	Grenoble	15	5	4	6	+0	19
10	Pau FC	16	5	4	7	-5	19
11	Bastia	15	5	4	6	-6	19
12	Quevilly Rouen	15	5	3	7	-5	18
13	Amiens	16	4	4	8	-9	16
14	Caen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
15	Laval	16	4	2	10	-11	14
16	Annecy	16	2	6	8	-11	12
17	Niort	16	2	4	10	-15	10
18	Valenciennes	15	2	3	10	-13	9
19	Dijon	15	1	4	10	-11	7
20	Nimes	16	1	4	11	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.