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Ligue 2
Valenciennes
U S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 17. · Guingamp 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajaccio 19 11 5 3 +12 38
2 Toulouse 19 10 7 2 +22 37
3 Paris FC 19 11 3 5 +9 36
4 Sochaux 20 10 6 4 +5 36
5 Auxerre 19 9 6 4 +9 33
6 Le Havre 20 8 8 4 +6 32
7 Niort 19 8 4 7 +2 28
8 Rodez 19 7 6 6 +3 27
9 Guingamp 19 6 6 7 -4 24
10 Pau FC 19 7 3 9 -4 24
11 Quevilly Rouen 19 6 6 7 -5 24
12 Nimes 19 6 5 8 -2 23
13 Dijon 19 7 2 10 -3 23
14 Caen 19 5 7 7 +1 22
15 Amiens 19 4 9 6 +3 21
16 Grenoble 19 6 3 10 -9 21
17 Valenciennes 19 5 6 8 -12 21
18 Bastia 19 4 8 7 -3 20
19 Dunkerque 19 4 4 11 -11 16
20 Nancy 19 2 6 11 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U ✓
3,17
B
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.