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Serie B

Monza

S T U S T

4–0

Full-time

Spal

T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 34%

43%

24%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 60%

62%

57%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 2

9 Shots on target 0

4 Corners 1

22 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Monza 7. · Spal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	21	11	8	2	+17	41
2	Pisa	21	11	7	3	+12	40
3	Brescia	21	11	6	4	+12	39
4	Cremonese	21	11	5	5	+12	38
5	Frosinone	21	9	10	2	+16	37
6	Benevento	21	10	6	5	+13	36
7	Monza	21	9	8	4	+6	35
8	Cittadella	21	8	8	5	+3	32
9	Ascoli	21	9	5	7	+1	32
10	Perugia	21	7	10	4	+3	31
11	Como	21	6	9	6	+1	27
12	Ternana	21	7	6	8	+0	27
13	Parma	21	5	10	6	-1	25
14	Spal	21	5	8	8	-4	23
15	Reggina	21	6	5	10	-13	23
16	Alessandria	21	6	3	12	-9	21
17	Cosenza	21	4	6	11	-16	18
18	Crotone	21	2	8	11	-12	14
19	Pordenone	21	2	6	13	-22	12
20	Vicenza	21	3	2	16	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	10	8	2	0	+11	26
2	Lecce	10	7	3	0	+14	24
3	Cremonese	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Benevento	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Pisa	10	6	3	1	+6	21
6	Frosinone	11	4	6	1	+7	18
7	Cittadella	10	5	3	2	+6	18
8	Ternana	11	5	1	5	+1	16
9	Como	11	3	5	3	+2	14
10	Cosenza	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Alessandria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
12	Brescia	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Perugia	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Spal	11	2	5	4	+0	11
15	Parma	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Crotone	11	2	5	4	-3	11
17	Reggina	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Ascoli	10	2	3	5	-6	9
19	Pordenone	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Vicenza	10	1	2	7	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Frosinone	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Pisa	11	5	4	2	+6	19
5	Perugia	11	4	6	1	+3	18
6	Lecce	11	4	5	2	+3	17
7	Cremonese	10	5	1	4	+4	16
8	Benevento	10	4	3	3	+3	15
9	Parma	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-3	14
11	Como	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Spal	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Reggina	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Ternana	10	2	5	3	-1	11
15	Monza	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Alessandria	10	2	1	7	-5	7
17	Vicenza	11	2	0	9	-11	6
18	Pordenone	10	1	2	7	-13	5
19	Cosenza	10	0	4	6	-14	4
20	Crotone	10	0	3	7	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.