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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Benfica

S U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Santa Clara

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Santa Clara

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 50%

71%

29%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

62%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

16 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Santa Clara 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	22	19	3	0	+41	60
2	Sp Lisbon	22	17	3	2	+28	54
3	Benfica	21	15	2	4	+37	47
4	Sp Braga	22	12	5	5	+16	41
5	Gil Vicente	21	9	7	5	+8	34
6	Guimaraes	21	8	6	7	+6	30
7	Estoril	21	6	9	6	+1	27
8	Portimonense	21	7	5	9	-2	26
9	Maritimo	21	6	7	8	-5	25
10	Santa Clara	21	6	6	9	-14	24
11	Vizela	21	5	8	8	-12	23
12	Pacos Ferreira	22	4	9	9	-10	21
13	Boavista	21	3	11	7	-9	20
14	Tondela	21	6	2	13	-14	20
15	Moreirense	21	4	7	10	-10	19
16	Arouca	21	4	6	11	-19	18
17	Famalicao	21	3	8	10	-14	17
18	Belenenses	21	2	6	13	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	10	1	0	+21	31
2	Sp Lisbon	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Sp Braga	12	7	3	2	+12	24
4	Guimaraes	10	6	2	2	+9	20
5	Benfica	10	6	1	3	+14	19
6	Santa Clara	11	5	3	3	-5	18
7	Boavista	11	3	7	1	+3	16
8	Gil Vicente	11	4	3	4	+2	15
9	Maritimo	10	3	5	2	+4	14
10	Vizela	11	3	4	4	-4	13
11	Moreirense	10	3	3	4	+0	12
12	Tondela	11	4	0	7	-6	12
13	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	5	4	-3	11
14	Arouca	10	3	1	6	-12	10
15	Estoril	10	1	6	3	-2	9
16	Portimonense	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Famalicao	10	1	5	4	-7	8
18	Belenenses	10	2	2	6	-15	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	11	9	2	0	+20	29
2	Benfica	11	9	1	1	+23	28
3	Sp Lisbon	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	Gil Vicente	10	5	4	1	+6	19
5	Estoril	11	5	3	3	+3	18
6	Sp Braga	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Portimonense	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Maritimo	11	3	2	6	-9	11
9	Guimaraes	11	2	4	5	-3	10
10	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	4	5	-7	10
11	Vizela	10	2	4	4	-8	10
12	Famalicao	11	2	3	6	-7	9
13	Arouca	11	1	5	5	-7	8
14	Tondela	10	2	2	6	-8	8
15	Moreirense	11	1	4	6	-10	7
16	Santa Clara	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Boavista	10	0	4	6	-12	4
18	Belenenses	11	0	4	7	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.