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Ligue 2

Valenciennes

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

48%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

5 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 7

1 Corners 8

17 Free kicks against 24

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 8. · Toulouse 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	27	16	7	4	+18	55
2	Clermont	27	15	7	5	+26	52
3	Toulouse	27	15	7	5	+21	52
4	Grenoble	27	14	7	6	+14	49
5	Auxerre	27	12	8	7	+17	44
6	Paris FC	27	12	8	7	+8	44
7	Sochaux	27	9	12	6	+10	39
8	Valenciennes	27	9	9	9	-1	36
9	Caen	27	8	10	9	-6	34
10	Le Havre	27	8	10	9	-8	34
11	Niort	27	8	10	9	-9	34
12	Amiens	27	8	9	10	-3	33
13	Rodez	27	7	12	8	-6	33
14	Ajaccio	27	8	8	11	-11	32
15	Nancy	27	7	10	10	-2	31
16	Dunkerque	27	7	7	13	-11	28
17	Guingamp	27	4	14	9	-7	26
18	Pau FC	27	6	6	15	-14	24
19	Chambly	27	5	9	13	-17	24
20	Chateauroux	27	4	6	17	-19	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	14	11	3	0	+15	36
2	Clermont	14	10	3	1	+22	33
3	Grenoble	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Toulouse	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Auxerre	14	8	3	3	+18	27
6	Paris FC	13	7	4	2	+6	25
7	Caen	14	5	6	3	-1	21
8	Sochaux	14	5	5	4	+3	20
9	Niort	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Rodez	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Valenciennes	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Ajaccio	13	5	4	4	-1	19
13	Amiens	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Dunkerque	14	4	5	5	+1	17
15	Pau FC	13	4	4	5	-1	16
16	Le Havre	13	3	7	3	-1	16
17	Nancy	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Chambly	14	4	2	8	-7	14
19	Guingamp	13	2	7	4	-2	13
20	Chateauroux	14	3	2	9	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	6	4	3	+6	22
2	Sochaux	13	4	7	2	+7	19
3	Clermont	13	5	4	4	+4	19
4	Troyes	13	5	4	4	+3	19
5	Paris FC	14	5	4	5	+2	19
6	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	-3	18
7	Le Havre	14	5	3	6	-7	18
8	Auxerre	13	4	5	4	-1	17
9	Valenciennes	14	4	5	5	-3	17
10	Nancy	14	4	4	6	+0	16
11	Amiens	14	4	3	7	-4	15
12	Niort	14	3	5	6	-11	14
13	Guingamp	14	2	7	5	-5	13
14	Caen	13	3	4	6	-5	13
15	Rodez	13	2	7	4	-6	13
16	Ajaccio	14	3	4	7	-10	13
17	Dunkerque	13	3	2	8	-12	11
18	Chambly	13	1	7	5	-10	10
19	Pau FC	14	2	2	10	-13	8
20	Chateauroux	13	1	4	8	-11	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.