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Championship
Referee: S Hooper
Bournemouth
S T U U U
0–2
Full-time
Blackburn
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 53%
55%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
55%
59%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
59%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bournemouth 2. · Blackburn 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 22 14 5 3 +34 47
2 Bournemouth 22 12 8 2 +20 44
3 West Brom 22 11 7 4 +13 40
4 Blackburn 22 11 6 5 +12 39
5 Stoke 22 11 4 7 +7 37
6 Coventry 23 10 7 6 +6 37
7 QPR 22 10 5 7 +5 35
8 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 +3 32
9 Sheffield United 21 9 4 8 +4 31
10 Luton 21 8 6 7 +7 30
11 Huddersfield 21 8 6 7 +2 30
12 Swansea 22 8 6 8 +1 30
13 Millwall 22 7 9 6 +0 30
14 Reading 22 9 3 10 -4 30
15 Bristol City 22 8 5 9 -7 29
16 Preston 22 7 7 8 -4 28
17 Nott'm Forest 20 7 6 7 +3 27
18 Blackpool 21 7 6 8 -5 27
19 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 -7 26
20 Derby 22 4 10 8 -5 22
21 Hull 22 6 4 12 -8 22
22 Cardiff 22 6 4 12 -14 22
23 Peterboro 22 5 4 13 -22 19
24 Peterborough 21 4 4 13 -23 16
25 Barnsley 22 2 8 12 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bournemouth Blackburn
21′
B. Pearson 1–0
own goal
Lewis Cook 🟨
38′
42′
🟨 Ben Brereton
Half-time 1–0
E. Marcondes 🔁
↦ B. Pearson
46′
Jack Stacey 🟨
55′
55′
🔁 S. Gallagher
↦ R. Khadra
Emiliano Marcondes 🟨
62′
65′
J. van Hecke 1–1
J. Rothwell
L. Kelly 🔁
↦ S. Cook
66′
66′
🔁 Daniel Ayala
↦ S. Wharton
M. Rogers 🔁
↦ J. Anthony
72′
72′
🔁 B. Johnson
↦ R. Nyambe
86′
🟨 Jan Paul van Hecke
91′
🟨 John Buckley
93′
🟨 Joe Rothwell
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bournemouth

4-3-3
42 M. Travers G
24 G. Cahill D
3 S. Cook D
17 J. Stacey D
12 R. Brady D
22 B. Pearson M
10 R. Christie M
4 L. Cook M
18 J. Lowe F
9 D. Solanke F
32 J. Anthony F
Bench (7)
11 E. Marcondes
5 L. Kelly
27 M. Rogers
20 L. Davis
6 C. Mepham
26 G. Kilkenny
1 Ø. Nyland

Coach: S. Parker

Blackburn

3-4-1-2
13 A. Pears G
26 D. Lenihan D
16 S. Wharton D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe M
3 H. Pickering M
25 J. van Hecke D
8 J. Rothwell M
21 J. Buckley F
7 R. Khadra F
22 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
9 S. Gallagher
5 Daniel Ayala
4 B. Johnson
45 J. Eastham
19 L. Clarkson
20 A. Edun
10 T. Dolan

Coach: T. Mowbray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,72
U
3,77
B ✓
4,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.