Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St. Gilloise
|
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | +27 | 37 |
| 2 |
Club Brugge
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +9 | 31 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 30 |
| 4 |
Charleroi
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 5 |
Antwerp
|
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | +10 | 29 |
| 6 |
Kortrijk
|
19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 28 |
| 7 |
Eupen
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | +1 | 25 |
| 8 |
Genk
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +10 | 24 |
| 9 |
Mechelen
|
15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 23 |
| 10 |
Standard
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -10 | 23 |
| 11 |
Oostende
|
19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 |
Gent
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +6 | 22 |
| 13 |
St Truiden
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
| 14 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 |
Cercle Brugge
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Seraing | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 19 |
| 17 |
Seraing United
|
17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 19 |
| 18 |
Waregem
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -15 | 17 |
| 19 |
Beerschot VA
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Club Brugge
St Truiden
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Gent
Beerschot VA
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.