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Serie B

Cittadella

S U U U S

2–0

Full-time

Ascoli

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

31%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

44%

63%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

9 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 10. · Ascoli 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	16	9	5	2	+11	32
2	Lecce	16	8	7	1	+15	31
3	Benevento	17	9	4	4	+13	31
4	Brescia	16	9	3	4	+8	30
5	Cremonese	17	8	5	4	+7	29
6	Monza	16	7	7	2	+7	28
7	Ascoli	16	7	5	4	+3	26
8	Frosinone	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Perugia	16	6	7	3	+3	25
10	Cittadella	16	7	4	5	+1	25
11	Ternana	17	6	4	7	+0	22
12	Reggina	16	6	4	6	-4	22
13	Como	16	5	6	5	+2	21
14	Spal	16	5	5	6	+2	20
15	Parma	16	4	7	5	-2	19
16	Cosenza	16	4	3	9	-12	15
17	Alessandria	16	4	2	10	-12	14
18	Crotone	17	1	5	11	-15	8
19	Vicenza	16	2	1	13	-16	7
20	Pordenone	16	1	4	11	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Lecce	8	5	3	0	+12	18
3	Pisa	8	5	3	0	+7	18
4	Benevento	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Cremonese	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Cosenza	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Ternana	9	4	1	4	+1	13
9	Frosinone	9	2	6	1	+1	12
10	Perugia	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Como	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Reggina	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Alessandria	8	3	1	4	-4	10
15	Spal	8	2	3	3	+2	9
16	Parma	7	2	3	2	+0	9
17	Ascoli	8	2	3	3	-2	9
18	Crotone	9	1	4	4	-6	7
19	Pordenone	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Vicenza	7	0	1	6	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Ascoli	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Frosinone	7	3	4	0	+7	13
6	Lecce	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+2	13
8	Perugia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Spal	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Cittadella	8	3	2	3	-3	11
11	Reggina	8	3	2	3	-4	11
12	Como	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Parma	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Ternana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Monza	9	1	6	2	-2	9
16	Vicenza	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Alessandria	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Pordenone	8	0	2	6	-11	2
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	-14	2
20	Crotone	8	0	1	7	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.