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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Stoke
S S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 5. · Middlesbrough 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 22 14 5 3 +34 47
2 Bournemouth 22 12 8 2 +20 44
3 West Brom 22 11 7 4 +13 40
4 Blackburn 22 11 6 5 +12 39
5 Stoke 22 11 4 7 +7 37
6 Coventry 23 10 7 6 +6 37
7 QPR 22 10 5 7 +5 35
8 Middlesbrough 22 9 5 8 +3 32
9 Sheffield United 21 9 4 8 +4 31
10 Luton 21 8 6 7 +7 30
11 Huddersfield 21 8 6 7 +2 30
12 Swansea 22 8 6 8 +1 30
13 Millwall 22 7 9 6 +0 30
14 Reading 22 9 3 10 -4 30
15 Bristol City 22 8 5 9 -7 29
16 Preston 22 7 7 8 -4 28
17 Nott'm Forest 20 7 6 7 +3 27
18 Blackpool 21 7 6 8 -5 27
19 Birmingham 22 7 5 10 -7 26
20 Derby 22 4 10 8 -5 22
21 Hull 22 6 4 12 -8 22
22 Cardiff 22 6 4 12 -14 22
23 Peterboro 22 5 4 13 -22 19
24 Peterborough 21 4 4 13 -23 16
25 Barnsley 22 2 8 12 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Middlesbrough
10′
🟨 Anfernee Dijksteel
Danny Batth 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
71′
🔁 S. Bamba
↦ M. Crooks
Tommy Smith 🟨
72′
74′
🔁 O. Hernández
↦ D. Watmore
J. Brown 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
80′
T. Ince 🔁
↦ M. Vrančić
84′
S. Surridge 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
84′
89′
🔁 U. Ikpeazu
↦ A. Šporar
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Stoke

3-5-2
1 A. Davies G
6 D. Batth D
2 T. Smith M
3 M. Fox D
14 J. Tymon M
16 B. Wilmot D
8 M. Vrančić M
4 J. Allen M
7 S. Clucas M
9 S. Fletcher F
10 T. Campbell F
Bench (7)
18 J. Brown
23 T. Ince
22 S. Surridge
5 J. Chester
11 A. Doughty
13 J. Bonham
20 T. Oakley-Boothe

Coach: M. O'Neill

Middlesbrough

3-5-2
1 J. Lumley G
27 M. Bola M
2 A. Dijksteel D
16 J. Howson M
25 M. Crooks M
17 P. McNair D
18 D. Watmore F
6 D. Fry D
7 M. Tavernier M
11 A. Šporar F
35 I. Jones M
Bench (7)
22 S. Bamba
8 O. Hernández
9 U. Ikpeazu
3 N. Taylor
23 J. Lea Siliki
28 L. Daniels
10 M. Payero

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,42
U ✓
3,18
B
3,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.