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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
St Truiden
S S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
61%
72%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Truiden 13. · Cercle Brugge 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 15 12 1 2 +27 37
2 Club Brugge 15 9 4 2 +9 31
3 Anderlecht 15 8 6 1 +17 30
4 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
5 Antwerp 15 9 2 4 +10 29
6 Kortrijk 19 7 7 5 +2 28
7 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
8 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
9 Standard 18 6 5 7 -10 23
10 Oostende 19 7 2 10 -15 23
11 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
12 Eupen 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 St Truiden 18 6 3 9 -9 21
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 4 8 7 -8 20
15 Seraing 17 6 1 10 -8 19
16 Seraing United 17 6 1 10 -8 19
17 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -15 17
18 Cercle Brugge 18 4 4 10 -5 16
19 Beerschot VA 18 3 3 12 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Cercle Brugge
24′
🟨 Edgaras Utkus
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Robbe Decostere
50′
E. Utkus 0–1
D. Hotič
1–1 C. Brüls
58′
64′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ O. Deman
64′
🔁 Sousa
↦ E. Utkus
R. Reitz 🔁
↦ S. De Ridder
70′
73′
🟨 Rabbi Matondo
75′
R. Matondo 1–2
H. Van der Bruggen
80′
🔁 Vitinho
↦ R. Decostere
80′
🔁 C. Vanhoutte
↦ D. Hotič
L. Cacace 🔁
↦ D. Hashioka
81′
Jorge Teixeira 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
90′
94′
🟨 Rabbi Matondo
94′
🟥 Rabbi Matondo
Jorge Teixeira 🟨
95′
Liberato Cacace ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
99′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-5-2
1 K. Steppe G
39 Jonathan Buatu D
37 T. Leistner D
27 D. Lavalée D
4 D. Hashioka M
16 S. De Ridder M
44 C. Brüls M
6 M. Konaté M
9 Y. Suzuki F
14 A. Koita M
18 T. Hara F
Bench (7)
8 R. Reitz
13 L. Cacace
26 Jorge Teixeira
32 C. Durkin
15 D. Hayashi
35 W. Vanmarsenille
40 J. Pius

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
19 D. Velkovski D
4 J. Daland D
8 R. Decostere D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
6 E. Utkus D
23 O. Deman F
10 D. Hotič M
11 R. Matondo F
34 T. Somers F
Bench (7)
29 Álex Millán
3 Sousa
2 Vitinho
14 C. Vanhoutte
21 Warleson
42 A. Sampers
98 F. Kanoute

Coach: D. Thalhammer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
U
3,02
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.