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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Kortrijk
U U U U T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
56%
Both score Ø 61%
50%
72%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 6. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 15 12 1 2 +27 37
2 Club Brugge 15 9 4 2 +9 31
3 Anderlecht 15 8 6 1 +17 30
4 Charleroi 16 8 5 3 +11 29
5 Antwerp 15 9 2 4 +10 29
6 Kortrijk 18 6 7 5 +1 25
7 Genk 15 7 3 5 +10 24
8 Mechelen 15 7 2 6 -1 23
9 Standard 18 6 5 7 -10 23
10 Oostende 19 7 2 10 -15 23
11 Gent 15 6 4 5 +6 22
12 Eupen 18 6 4 8 +0 22
13 St Truiden 18 6 3 9 -9 21
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18 4 8 6 -7 20
15 Seraing 17 6 1 10 -8 19
16 Seraing United 17 6 1 10 -8 19
17 Waregem 18 4 5 9 -15 17
18 Cercle Brugge 18 4 4 10 -5 16
19 Beerschot VA 18 3 3 12 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Ante Palaversa 🟥
3′
Ante Palaversa ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
3′
38′
ℹ️ Sory Kaba
VAR: Card reviewed
39′
🟥 Sory Kaba
Dylan Mbayo 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Mousa Al-Tamari
↦ L. Shengelia
46′
🔁 K. Rezaei
↦ A. De Sart
1–0 T. Sainsbury
K. Vandendriessche
63′
Muhammed Badammosi 🟨
71′
M. Fixelles 🔁
↦ A. Kadri
72′
72′
🔁 J. Sekidika
↦ K. Malinov
72′
J. Sekidika 1–1
C. De Norre
Faïz Selemani 🟨
78′
M. Moreno 🔁
↦ D. Mbayo
80′
L. Rougeaux 🔁
↦ K. Vandendriessche
80′
B. Messaoudi 🔁
↦ M. Badamosi
80′
2–1 F. Selemani
M. Fixelles
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
31 M. Ilić G
5 T. Sainsbury D
30 K. D'Haene D
2 G. Dewaele D
66 A. Radovanović D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
8 A. Palaversa M
18 A. Kadri M
10 F. Selemani M
7 D. Mbayo M
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (7)
11 M. Fixelles
29 M. Moreno
6 L. Rougeaux
9 B. Messaoudi
28 J. Delle
76 T. Derijck
27 M. Jonckheere

Coach: K. Belhocine

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
4 K. Malinov M
33 M. Maertens F
21 A. De Sart M
8 S. Schrijvers F
19 L. Shengelia M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
11 Mousa Al-Tamari
99 K. Rezaei
77 J. Sekidika
15 D. Ouédraogo
90 R. Romo
27 M. Keita
5 P. Ngawa

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,53
B
3,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.