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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Wolfsburg
S S U T T
0–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
21%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
43%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
43%
79%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 9. · Stuttgart 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 12 1 2 +31 37
2 Dortmund 15 10 1 4 +13 31
3 Leverkusen 14 8 3 3 +16 27
4 Hoffenheim 15 8 2 5 +9 26
5 Freiburg 15 7 4 4 +11 25
6 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
7 RB Leipzig 15 6 3 6 +10 21
8 Mainz 15 6 3 6 +5 21
9 Wolfsburg 14 6 2 6 -5 20
10 Bochum 15 6 2 7 -7 20
11 FC Koln 15 4 7 4 -2 19
12 Ein Frankfurt 14 4 6 4 -2 18
13 M'gladbach 15 5 3 7 -9 18
14 Hertha 15 5 3 7 -12 18
15 Augsburg 15 4 4 7 -9 16
16 Stuttgart 14 3 5 6 -5 14
17 Bielefeld 15 1 7 7 -12 10
18 Greuther Furth 14 0 1 13 -34 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
J. Guilavogui 🔁
↦ A. Vranckx
21′
Sebastiaan Bornauw 🟨
24′
25′
K. Mavropanos 0–1
Omar Marmoush
27′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ R. Massimo
41′
🟨 Hiroki Ito
Half-time 0–1
J. Roussillon 🔁
↦ Paulo Otávio
51′
63′
P. Förster 0–2
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
66′
D. Lukébakio 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
66′
R. Baku 🔁
↦ K. Mbabu
66′
71′
🟨 Omar Marmoush
74′
🔁 M. Kempf
↦ P. Förster
78′
ℹ️ Wataru Endo
VAR: Penalty awarded
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
79′
80′
🔁 C. Führich
↦ T. Coulibaly
80′
🔁 S. Katompa Mvumpa
↦ Omar Marmoush
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
6 Paulo Otávio D
19 K. Mbabu D
3 S. Bornauw D
4 M. Lacroix D
27 M. Arnold M
11 R. Steffen M
8 A. Vranckx M
9 W. Weghorst F
7 L. Waldschmidt M
10 L. Nmecha M
Bench (9)
23 J. Guilavogui
15 J. Roussillon
22 F. Nmecha
28 D. Lukébakio
20 R. Baku
25 J. Brooks
31 Y. Gerhardt
12 P. Pervan
33 D. Ginczek

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 F. Müller G
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala F
30 R. Massimo M
7 T. Coulibaly M
17 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
15 P. Stenzel
4 M. Kempf
22 C. Führich
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa
18 H. Al Ghaddioui
50 A. Tibidi
42 F. Schock
19 W. Faghir
31 M. Klimowicz

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U
3,68
B ✓
4,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.