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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Sociedad
S S S T T
0–3
Full-time
Getafe
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 15%
20%
10%
Both score Ø 28%
15%
40%
Average goals
1,6
1,6
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
0,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,45
57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 8. · Getafe 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 21 15 4 2 +30 +23.0 49
2 Ath Madrid 21 13 6 2 +21 +18.9 45
3 Barcelona 20 12 3 5 +29 +22.6 39
4 Ath Bilbao 20 11 6 3 +13 +8.9 39
5 Villarreal 21 9 7 5 +7 +12.9 34
6 Mallorca 21 9 3 9 -7 -1.0 30
7 Vallecano 21 7 8 6 +1 -1.5 29
8 Sociedad 20 8 4 8 +3 +2.3 28
9 Girona 21 8 4 9 +0 +2.5 28
10 Betis 21 7 7 7 -3 +3.7 28
11 Osasuna 21 6 9 6 -5 -6.4 27
12 Sevilla 21 7 6 8 -6 -3.3 27
13 Celta 20 7 3 10 -3 +6.1 24
14 Las Palmas 21 6 5 10 -8 -21.2 23
15 Leganes 20 5 7 8 -10 -18.1 22
16 Getafe 20 4 8 8 -3 -4.7 20
17 Alaves 20 5 5 10 -8 -3.4 20
18 Espanol 21 5 5 11 -13 -16.4 20
19 Valencia 20 3 7 10 -10 -8.1 16
20 Valladolid 21 4 3 14 -28 -17.0 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Getafe
Beñat Turrientes 🟨
15′
25′
🟨 Luis Milla
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Bertuğ Yıldırım
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ Beñat Turrientes
46′
46′
🔁 Carles Pérez
↦ Álex Sola
Javi López 🔁
↦ Aihen Muñoz
51′
54′
🟨 Omar Alderete
63′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ B. Yıldırım
66′
ℹ️ Diego Rico
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
70′
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
70′
72′
⚽ C. Uche 0–1
74′
⚽ Carles Pérez 0–2
Diego Rico
Pablo Marín 🔁
↦ Jon Olasagasti
83′
83′
🔁 Yellu Santiago
↦ Luis Milla
85′
⚽ Carles Pérez 0–3
C. Uche
88′
🔁 Juan Berrocal
↦ O. Alderete
90′
🟨 Yellu Santiago
92′
🟨 Juan Berrocal
Takefusa Kubo 🟨
95′
Jon Aramburu 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Coba da Costa
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
27 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
20 Jon Pacheco D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
4 Martín Zubimendi M
14 T. Kubo M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
16 Jon Olasagasti M
17 Sergio Gómez M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
23 Brais Méndez
12 Javi López
7 Barrenetxea
9 O. Óskarsson
28 Pablo Marín
24 L. Sučić
21 N. Aguerd
11 S. Becker
32 Aitor Fraga
6 Aritz Elustondo
13 Unai Marrero
2 Odriozola

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
21 Juan Iglesias D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
16 Diego Rico D
7 Álex Sola M
5 Luis Milla M
2 D. Dakonam M
29 Coba M
6 C. Uche F
10 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (12)
17 Carles Pérez
9 Borja Mayoral
20 Yellu Santiago
4 Juan Berrocal
36 Keita
26 Alberto Risco
11 Carles Aleñá
28 I. Bekhoucha
1 J. Letáček
19 P. González
37 Luca Lohr
18 Á. Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U
3,21
B ✓
5,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
3,06
U2,5
1,37
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.