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Süper Lig
Referee: O Çakır
Antalyaspor
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Besiktas
U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
42%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
53%
63%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,60 xG 1,13
46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 15. · Besiktas 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 20 17 3 0 +31 +21.9 54
2 Fenerbahce 19 14 3 2 +31 +24.8 45
3 Samsunspor 20 12 4 4 +15 +10.3 40
4 Goztep 19 10 4 5 +15 +11.0 34
5 Eyüpspor 19 9 6 4 +13 +1.2 33
6 Besiktas 19 8 7 4 +8 +7.7 31
7 Buyuksehyr 20 8 5 7 +5 +7.3 29
8 Rizespor 20 8 3 9 -9 +8.2 27
9 Gaziantep 20 7 5 8 -2 -5.1 26
10 Trabzonspor 19 6 7 6 +10 -0.6 25
11 Alanyaspor 20 6 7 7 -4 -1.1 25
12 Sivasspor 20 6 5 9 -8 -15.1 23
13 Kasimpasa 19 4 10 5 -6 -4.1 22
14 Konyaspor 20 5 6 9 -8 -8.4 21
15 Antalyaspor 19 6 3 10 -17 -14.9 21
16 Bodrumspor 19 4 4 11 -11 -4.8 16
17 Kayserispor 19 3 7 9 -20 -7.1 16
18 Hatayspor 19 1 7 11 -15 -13.2 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 20 2 2 16 -28 -17.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antalyaspor Besiktas
41′
🟨 Mutassim Al Musrati
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Rafa Silva
46′
🔁 O. Bulut
↦ J. Svensson
57′
🔁 C. Immobile
↦ S. Kılıçsoy
57′
🔁 E. Muçi
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Moussa Djenepo 🟨
61′
A. Townsend 🔁
↦ M. Djenepo
67′
A. Gaich 🔁
↦ B. Samudio
67′
68′
🔁 João Mário
↦ M. Rashica
71′
🔁 B. Zaynutdinov
↦ E. Topçu
R. Safouri 🔁
↦ S. Larsson
79′
79′
Rafa 0–1
C. Immobile
1–1 E. Rakip
85′
Thalisson Kelven 🔁
↦ B. Öztürk
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Antalyaspor

4-4-2
13 K. Pirić G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
3 B. Öztürk D
11 G. Vural D
22 S. van de Streek M
18 J. Kałuziński M
6 E. Rakip M
12 M. Djenepo M
10 S. Larsson F
81 B. Samudio F
Bench (10)
25 A. Townsend
9 A. Gaich
8 R. Safouri
2 Thalisson Kelven
29 H. Ürkmez
77 A. Dursun
21 A. Yiğiter
14 E. Uzunhan
4 A. Gërxhaliu
27 M. Yılmaz

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Besiktas

4-2-3-1
34 M. Günok G
2 J. Svensson D
53 E. Topçu D
14 F. Uduokhai D
26 A. Masuaku D
83 Gedson Fernandes M
6 Al Musrati M
7 M. Rashica M
27 Rafa M
15 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
9 S. Kılıçsoy F
Bench (10)
4 O. Bulut
17 C. Immobile
23 E. Muçi
18 João Mário
22 B. Zaynutdinov
30 E. Destanoğlu
91 M. Hekimoğlu
94 G. Baytekin
71 J. Onana
8 S. Uçan

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,86
U ✓
3,70
B
1,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Çakır · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.