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DFB-Pokal
Referee: F Badstübner
Regensburg
S S T T U
0–3
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Regensburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,5
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

30% Possession 70%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Regensburg 15. · Stuttgart 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +8 6
2 Karlsruhe 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 FC Koln 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Bielefeld 2 2 0 0 +4 6
12 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Werder Bremen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Regensburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Hoffenheim 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 +5 3
18 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +4 3
19 Heidenheim 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Paderborn 2 1 0 1 +3 3
21 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Dresden 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Kaiserslautern 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 St Pauli 2 1 0 1 -1 3
27 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 -1 3
28 Kickers Offenbach 2 1 0 1 -1 3
29 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 -1 3
30 Mainz 2 1 0 1 -2 3
31 Holstein Kiel 2 1 0 1 -2 3
32 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Alemannia Aachen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Bochum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Greifswalder FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 TuS Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 VfR Aalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 FC 08 Villingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 SV Meppen 1 0 0 1 -6 0
64 Borussia Hildesheim 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Regensburg Stuttgart
10′
E. Millot 0–1
N. Woltemade
19′
A. Chase 0–2
P. Stenzel
Eric Hottmann 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–2
59′
🔁 E. Demirović
↦ E. Millot
59′
🔁 J. Diehl
↦ C. Führich
61′
N. Woltemade 0–3
N. Ganaus 🔁
↦ E. Hottmann
64′
66′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ A. Stiller
R. Ziegele 🔁
↦ B. Hein
75′
C. Kühlwetter 🔁
↦ A. Bittroff
75′
D. Galjen 🔁
↦ S. Ernst
76′
Louis Breunig 🟨
77′
E. Huth 🔁
↦ D. Kother
81′
81′
🔁 J. Chabot
↦ A. Chase
81′
🔁 J. Malanga
↦ F. Rieder
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Regensburg

3-4-2-1
1 F. Gebhardt G
37 L. Wurm D
13 A. Bittroff D
16 L. Breunig D
11 N. Ochojski M
8 A. Geipl M
15 S. Ernst M
3 B. Hein M
33 K. Pröger F
27 D. Kother F
9 E. Hottmann F
Bench (9)
20 N. Ganaus
14 R. Ziegele
30 C. Kühlwetter
39 D. Galjen
29 E. Huth
40 M. Ouro-Tagba
23 J. Pollersbeck
21 T. Eisenhuth
32 A. Weidinger

Coach: A. Patz

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
1 F. Bredlow G
15 P. Stenzel D
45 A. Chase D
29 A. Rouault D
3 R. Hendriks D
5 Y. Keitel M
6 A. Stiller M
32 F. Rieder M
8 E. Millot M
27 C. Führich M
11 N. Woltemade F
Bench (9)
9 E. Demirović
17 J. Diehl
16 A. Karazor
24 J. Chabot
47 J. Malanga
7 M. Mittelstädt
4 J. Vagnoman
33 A. Nübel
20 L. Stergiou

Coach: S. Hoeneß

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.