La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ath Bilbao
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +30 | +23.0 | 49 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | +21 | +18.9 | 45 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | +29 | +22.6 | 39 |
| 4 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +13 | +8.9 | 39 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +7 | +12.9 | 34 |
| 6 |
Mallorca
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | -7 | -1.0 | 30 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +1 | -1.5 | 29 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +0 | +2.5 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +0 | +1.8 | 28 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -3 | +3.7 | 28 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | -5 | -6.4 | 27 |
| 12 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -6 | -3.3 | 27 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -3 | +6.1 | 24 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | +0 | -4.2 | 23 |
| 15 |
Las Palmas
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | -8 | -21.2 | 23 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -10 | -18.1 | 22 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -8 | -3.4 | 20 |
| 18 |
Espanol
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -13 | -16.4 | 20 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -10 | -8.1 | 16 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -28 | -17.0 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Unai Simón
G
Yeray
D
Adama Boiro
D
Mikel Jauregizar
M
Mikel Vesga
M
I. Williams
M
Álex Berenguer
M
Nico Williams
M
Gorka Guruzeta
F
Coach: Ernesto Valverde
M. Dmitrović
G
Adrià Alti
D
Juan Cruz
D
Miguel de la Fuente
M
Y. Neyou
M
Dani Raba
F
Coach: Borja Jiménez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Besiktas
Ath Bilbao
Celta
Ath Bilbao
Ath Bilbao
Osasuna
UD Logroñés
Ath Bilbao
Osasuna
Ath Bilbao
Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.