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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Bauer
Elversberg
U S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
40%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
68%
60%
Both score Ø 64%
68%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 10. · Holstein Kiel 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 25 14 9 2 +21 51
2 Holstein Kiel 25 14 4 7 +13 46
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 12 7 7 +22 43
4 Hamburg 25 12 5 8 +10 41
5 Hannover 25 10 9 6 +12 39
6 Paderborn 26 11 6 9 -3 39
7 Greuther Furth 25 11 5 9 +0 38
8 Nurnberg 25 10 6 9 -8 36
9 Karlsruhe 25 9 8 8 +7 35
10 Elversberg 25 10 5 10 -2 35
11 Hertha 25 9 7 9 +4 34
12 Magdeburg 25 8 7 10 +4 31
13 Wehen 25 8 7 10 -1 31
14 Schalke 04 25 9 3 13 -9 30
15 Kaiserslautern 25 8 4 13 -9 28
16 Braunschweig 26 8 3 15 -14 27
17 Hansa Rostock 25 7 4 14 -18 25
18 Osnabruck 26 3 9 14 -29 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Holstein Kiel
31′
🟨 Tom Rothe
39′
S. Machino 0–1
N. Remberg
Half-time 0–1
Luca Dürholtz 🟨
46′
49′
P. Sander 0–2
T. Becker
J. Rochelt 🔁
↦ L. Dürholtz
60′
68′
🔁 B. Pichler
↦ S. Machino
K. Conrad 🔁
↦ R. Fellhauer
69′
D. Martinović 🔁
↦ M. Feil
69′
J. Boyamba 🔁
↦ P. Wanner
79′
80′
🔁 J. Mees
↦ A. Bernhardsson
80′
🔁 L. Rosenboom
↦ F. Porath
81′
🔁 M. Schulz
↦ P. Sander
88′
🔁 M. Kirkeskov
↦ T. Rothe
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Elversberg

3-4-2-1
20 N. Kristof G
14 R. Fellhauer D
19 L. Pinckert D
3 F. Le Joncour D
7 M. Feil M
11 L. Dürholtz M
31 T. Jacobsen M
18 H. Vandermersch M
17 P. Wanner F
21 P. Stock F
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (8)
10 J. Rochelt
4 K. Conrad
9 D. Martinović
22 J. Boyamba
30 K. Koffi
1 F. Lehmann
28 T. Boss
25 S. Saftig

Coach: H. Steffen

Holstein Kiel

3-1-4-2
1 T. Weiner G
17 T. Becker D
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
16 P. Sander M
8 F. Porath M
10 L. Holtby M
22 N. Remberg M
18 T. Rothe M
11 A. Bernhardsson F
13 S. Machino F
Bench (9)
9 B. Pichler
27 J. Mees
23 L. Rosenboom
15 M. Schulz
2 M. Kirkeskov
7 S. Skrzybski
5 C. Johansson
31 M. Engelhardt
6 M. Ivezić

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,71
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bauer · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.