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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

Standard

U T U T T

4–0

Full-time

Eupen

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches

Win Ø 19%

21%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

37%

52%

Both score Ø 48%

53%

43%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

0,9

0,7

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,21 xG 0,44

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

2 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 10. · Eupen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+27	+22.6	51
2	Anderlecht	19	13	5	1	+23	+13.8	44
3	Cercle Brugge	19	13	2	4	+18	+10.7	41
4	Club Brugge	19	12	4	3	+33	+32.6	40
5	Antwerp	20	10	7	3	+28	+20.4	37
6	Genk	18	9	6	3	+20	+24.2	33
7	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.3	32
8	Gent	18	7	7	4	+7	+7.9	28
9	Westerlo	19	5	5	9	-6	-7.2	20
10	Standard	19	4	7	8	-9	-11.9	19
11	Charleroi	23	4	7	12	-17	-13.4	19
12	St Truiden	19	4	6	9	-17	-10.6	18
13	RWD Molenbeek	23	4	6	13	-31	-30.6	18
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	3	6	11	-14	-7.1	15
15	Eupen	23	4	2	17	-32	-27.6	14
16	Kortrijk	23	3	4	16	-35	-23.4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
2	Anderlecht	9	8	1	0	+14	+9.7	25
3	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
4	Cercle Brugge	9	7	1	1	+13	+8.2	22
5	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
6	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
7	Genk	9	5	3	1	+12	+16.1	18
8	Gent	9	4	4	1	+6	+7.0	16
9	Charleroi	12	3	4	5	-6	-0.5	13
10	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	3	4	+2	-2.7	12
12	Westerlo	9	4	0	5	-1	-2.3	12
13	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Eupen	12	3	1	8	-13	-11.2	10
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
5	Antwerp	10	4	4	2	+7	+3.8	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
7	Mechelen	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.2	13
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	10	1	5	4	-8	-9.6	8
11	Charleroi	11	1	3	7	-11	-12.9	6
12	St Truiden	10	1	3	6	-13	-9.5	6
13	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
14	Eupen	11	1	1	9	-19	-16.4	4
15	Kortrijk	11	1	1	9	-24	-16.5	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-16	-4.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.