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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Sp Gijon
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Alcorcon
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Alcorcon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
23%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
37%
30%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 9. · Alcorcon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 30 15 8 7 +21 53
2 Eibar 31 15 7 9 +14 52
3 Elche 30 14 8 8 +7 50
4 Espanol 30 13 10 7 +13 49
5 Burgos 31 14 7 10 +2 49
6 Oviedo 31 12 12 7 +13 48
7 Valladolid 30 14 6 10 +7 48
8 Santander 31 13 8 10 +5 47
9 Sp Gijon 30 12 10 8 +8 46
10 Levante 31 10 14 7 +1 44
11 Ferrol 30 11 11 8 +0 44
12 Eldense 31 10 12 9 -1 42
13 Tenerife 31 11 8 12 -2 41
14 Huesca 31 8 13 10 +3 37
15 Zaragoza 30 9 10 11 +0 37
16 Mirandes 30 9 9 12 -3 36
17 Cartagena 31 9 8 14 -12 35
18 Albacete 30 7 10 13 -9 31
19 Villarreal B 31 7 9 15 -18 30
20 Alcorcon 30 7 9 14 -19 30
21 Andorra 30 7 8 15 -14 29
22 Amorebieta 30 5 9 16 -16 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Gijon Alcorcon
Ignacio Méndez 🟨
25′
31′
🟨 Jacobo González
34′
🟨 Jean-Sylvain Babin
1–0 U. Đurđević
36′
Half-time 1–0
Christian Rivera 🔁
↦ Nacho Méndez
62′
Mario González 🔁
↦ H. Hassan
72′
Gaspar Campos 🔁
↦ Fran Villalba
72′
74′
🔁 Fede Vico
↦ Chiki
74′
🔁 Juanma Bravo
↦ Jacobo González
Gaspar Campos 🟨
77′
J. Varane 🔁
↦ Nacho Martín
81′
Pablo García 🔁
↦ Cote
81′
81′
🔁 Javi Lara
↦ Y. Eteki
81′
🔁 Marciano Sanca
↦ E. Addai
88′
🔁 Koldo Obieta
↦ Iago López
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

3-4-1-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
25 A. Pașcanu D
4 Pablo Insua D
22 Rober Pier D
21 H. Hassan M
10 Nacho Méndez M
6 Nacho Martín M
3 Cote M
8 Fran Villalba F
19 J. Otero F
23 U. Đurđević F
Bench (12)
17 Christian Rivera
20 Mario González
7 Gaspar Campos
12 J. Varane
5 Pablo García
15 Roque Mesa
16 Diego Sánchez
24 C. Izquierdoz
13 C. Sánchez
2 Guille Rosas
30 Alejandro Lozano
9 Dani Queipo

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Alcorcon

4-2-3-1
13 Lucas Anacker G
2 Javi Castro D
6 J. Babin D
23 Chema Rodríguez D
20 Iago López D
16 Javi Pérez M
18 Y. Eteki M
17 Víctor García M
8 Jacobo González M
26 E. Addai M
9 Chiki F
Bench (10)
14 Fede Vico
10 Juanma Bravo
15 Javi Lara
33 Marciano Sanca
21 Koldo Obieta
24 Iker Bilbao
22 Juan Artola
3 David Morillas
1 Jesús Ruiz
19 Xavi Quintillà

Coach: M. Nafti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,43
B
5,35
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.