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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Guingamp
T S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Valenciennes
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 22%
36%
7%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
46%
36%
Both score Ø 39%
39%
39%
Average goals
2,3
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 8. · Valenciennes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 29 15 10 4 +25 55
2 Angers 28 15 5 8 +12 50
3 Laval 28 13 9 6 +7 48
4 St Etienne 28 13 6 9 +9 45
5 Caen 29 12 6 11 +2 42
6 Rodez 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Grenoble 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Guingamp 28 10 9 9 +3 39
9 Paris FC 28 10 9 9 +2 39
10 Amiens 28 9 12 7 -3 39
11 Bordeaux 28 10 8 10 -3 38
12 Ajaccio 28 10 8 10 -3 38
13 Pau FC 28 9 10 9 -2 37
14 Troyes 28 8 10 10 -3 34
15 Bastia 28 9 7 12 -4 34
16 Dunkerque 28 9 7 12 -12 34
17 Concarneau 28 9 6 13 -8 33
18 Quevilly Rouen 28 5 12 11 -3 27
19 Annecy 28 6 9 13 -9 27
20 Valenciennes 28 2 11 15 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Valenciennes
1–0 P. Lemonnier
D. Louiserre
7′
2–0 M. Merghem
H. Picard
22′
Mehdi Merghem 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. Doucouré
↦ I. Hamache
46′
🔁 H. Šabanović
↦ G. Blancquart
57′
🔁 M. Oyewusi
↦ A. Knockaert
58′
🔁 M. Lilepo
↦ Flamarion
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ H. Picard
62′
3–0 A. El Ouazzani
A. Sagna
64′
69′
🔁 M. Foe-Ondoa
↦ A. Jung
U. Bonnet 🔁
↦ B. Guillaume
74′
J. Siwe 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
74′
78′
🟨 Halid Šabanović
L. Phiri 🔁
↦ M. Merghem
82′
V. Manceau 🔁
↦ M. Sivis
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-2-3-1
16 E. Basilio G
27 M. Sivis D
7 D. Gomis D
24 P. Lemonnier D
31 L. Maronnier D
4 D. Louiserre M
22 V. Lobry M
10 M. Merghem M
21 B. Guillaume M
20 H. Picard M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (7)
11 A. Sagna
29 U. Bonnet
17 J. Siwe
18 L. Phiri
15 V. Manceau
30 B. Niasse
2 B. Roux

Coach: S. Dumont

Valenciennes

3-4-3
16 J. Louchet G
36 G. Blancquart D
44 J. Sanda D
15 L. Woudenberg D
20 I. Hamache M
8 S. Bansé M
6 J. Masson M
3 S. Basse M
93 A. Knockaert F
18 A. Jung F
96 Flamarion F
Bench (7)
9 S. Doucouré
2 H. Šabanović
90 M. Oyewusi
34 M. Lilepo
59 M. Foe-Ondoa
13 J. Moursou
30 L. Diabaté

Coach: A. Kantari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,52
U
3,77
B
6,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.