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2. Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Hamburg
S T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Elversberg
U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Elversberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
41%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
64%
68%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Elversberg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 23 13 9 1 +21 48
2 Holstein Kiel 23 13 3 7 +12 42
3 Hamburg 22 11 5 6 +12 38
4 Hannover 23 10 7 6 +12 37
5 Paderborn 23 11 4 8 -2 37
6 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 +6 35
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 22 9 6 7 +14 33
8 Hertha 23 9 6 8 +6 33
9 Karlsruhe 23 8 8 7 +4 32
10 Elversberg 22 9 5 8 -1 32
11 Magdeburg 23 8 6 9 +5 30
12 Nurnberg 22 8 6 8 -9 30
13 Wehen 23 7 6 10 -4 27
14 Schalke 04 23 8 2 13 -11 26
15 Braunschweig 23 7 3 13 -13 24
16 Kaiserslautern 23 6 4 13 -13 22
17 Hansa Rostock 22 6 4 12 -14 22
18 Osnabruck 23 2 9 12 -25 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -23 Elversberg – Hamburg 2–1

Match report

Hamburg Elversberg
Ludovit Reis 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Hugo Vandermersch
1–0 R. Königsdörffer
R. Glatzel
53′
Ł. Poręba 🔁
↦ L. Reis
64′
A. Suhonen 🔁
↦ R. Königsdörffer
64′
67′
🔁 D. Martinović
↦ M. Feil
A. Németh 🔁
↦ R. Glatzel
75′
N. Katterbach 🔁
↦ M. Muheim
80′
L. Öztunalı 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
80′
80′
🔁 P. Stock
↦ S. Şahin
80′
🔁 J. Boyamba
↦ A. Sicker
80′
🔁 T. Jacobsen
↦ P. Wanner
Noah Katterbach 🟨
81′
88′
🔁 K. Koffi
↦ J. Rochelt
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
19 M. Raab G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
14 L. Reis M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
Bench (9)
6 Ł. Poręba
36 A. Suhonen
20 A. Németh
33 N. Katterbach
21 L. Öztunalı
17 M. Okugawa
2 W. Mikelbrencis
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
3 M. Heyer

Coach: S. Baumgart

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
18 H. Vandermersch D
19 L. Pinckert D
3 F. Le Joncour D
26 A. Sicker D
14 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
7 M. Feil M
17 P. Wanner M
10 J. Rochelt M
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
9 D. Martinović
21 P. Stock
22 J. Boyamba
31 T. Jacobsen
30 K. Koffi
28 T. Boss
1 F. Lehmann
11 L. Dürholtz
25 S. Saftig

Coach: H. Steffen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
U
4,36
B
4,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,37
U2,5 ✓
2,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.