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Ligue 2
Referee: N Rainville
Pau FC
U T S T T
2–0
Full-time
Concarneau
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Concarneau
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 32%
32%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 48%
57%
39%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 13. · Concarneau 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 29 15 10 4 +25 55
2 Angers 28 15 5 8 +12 50
3 Laval 28 13 9 6 +7 48
4 St Etienne 28 13 6 9 +9 45
5 Caen 29 12 6 11 +2 42
6 Rodez 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Grenoble 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Guingamp 28 10 9 9 +3 39
9 Paris FC 28 10 9 9 +2 39
10 Amiens 28 9 12 7 -3 39
11 Bordeaux 28 10 8 10 -3 38
12 Ajaccio 28 10 8 10 -3 38
13 Pau FC 28 9 10 9 -2 37
14 Troyes 28 8 10 10 -3 34
15 Bastia 28 9 7 12 -4 34
16 Dunkerque 28 9 7 12 -12 34
17 Concarneau 28 9 6 13 -8 33
18 Quevilly Rouen 28 5 12 11 -3 27
19 Annecy 28 6 9 13 -9 27
20 Valenciennes 28 2 11 15 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -23 Concarneau – Pau FC 1–2

Match report

Pau FC Concarneau
3′
🟨 Julien Faussurier
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou 🟨
17′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Saivet
53′
63′
🟨 Clement Rodrigues
Y. Begraoui 🔁
↦ M. Sylla
63′
S. D'Almeida 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
72′
2–0 Y. Begraoui
C. Boli
74′
77′
🔁 M. Etuin
↦ G. Barès
77′
🔁 T. Lebeau
↦ A. Phliponeau
77′
🔁 A. Urié
↦ I. Matondo
J. Obiang 🔁
↦ C. Boli
81′
86′
🟨 Tom Lebeau
88′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ C. Rodrigues
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

4-3-1-2
1 B. Kamara G
12 Jordy Gaspar D
4 X. Kouassi D
22 A. Ahoussou D
25 J. Ruiz D
13 L. Mouton M
8 H. Saivet M
70 C. Boli M
21 S. Beusnard M
10 K. Boutaïb F
7 M. Sylla F
Bench (7)
9 Y. Begraoui
6 S. D'Almeida
23 J. Obiang
11 M. Bassouamina
5 N. Sow
40 M. Jeannin
18 O. Ngom

Coach: N. Usaï

Concarneau

4-2-3-1
30 E. Salles G
33 J. Faussurier D
4 G. Jannez D
12 J. Célestine D
2 A. Georgen D
6 A. Phliponeau M
15 G. Barès M
19 K. Diawara M
22 C. Rodrigues M
7 I. Matondo M
14 P. Bâ F
Bench (7)
17 M. Etuin
8 T. Lebeau
11 A. Urié
9 N. Ndombasi
20 B. Mouazan
28 I. Paro
40 R. Boulais

Coach: S. Le Mignan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,23
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Rainville · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.