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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Auxerre
S S U U T
2–1
Full-time
Caen
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
61%
46%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
23 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 1. · Caen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 28 14 10 4 +24 52
2 Angers 28 15 5 8 +12 50
3 Laval 28 13 9 6 +7 48
4 St Etienne 28 13 6 9 +9 45
5 Caen 28 12 6 10 +3 42
6 Rodez 28 10 10 8 +5 40
7 Grenoble 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Guingamp 28 10 9 9 +3 39
9 Paris FC 28 10 9 9 +2 39
10 Amiens 28 9 12 7 -3 39
11 Bordeaux 28 10 8 10 -3 38
12 Ajaccio 28 10 8 10 -3 38
13 Pau FC 28 9 10 9 -2 37
14 Troyes 28 8 10 10 -3 34
15 Bastia 28 9 7 12 -4 34
16 Dunkerque 28 9 7 12 -12 34
17 Concarneau 28 9 6 13 -8 33
18 Quevilly Rouen 28 5 12 11 -3 27
19 Annecy 28 6 9 13 -9 27
20 Valenciennes 28 2 11 15 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Auxerre Caen
10′
G. Kyeremeh 0–1
V. Henry
26′
🔁 A. Salama
↦ G. Kyeremeh
38′
🟨 Noe Lebreton
Half-time 0–1
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ L. Sinayoko
57′
68′
🔁 M. Le Bihan
↦ M. Autret
68′
🔁 Q. Daubin
↦ D. Debohi
A. Dioussé 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
73′
I. Soumaré 🔁
↦ F. Ayé
74′
Gauthier Hein 🟨
76′
1–1 R. Raveloson
P. Joly
76′
2–1 Jubal
P. Joly
82′
S. Agouzoul 🔁
↦ G. Perrin
86′
86′
🔁 M. Hafid
↦ A. Salama
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Auxerre

4-2-2-2
16 D. Léon G
26 P. Joly D
4 Jubal D
5 T. Pellenard D
13 C. Akpa D
97 R. Raveloson M
42 E. Owusu M
7 G. Hein M
10 G. Perrin M
17 L. Sinayoko F
19 F. Ayé F
Bench (7)
45 A. Onaiwu
18 A. Dioussé
75 I. Soumaré
6 S. Agouzoul
8 N. Buayi-Kiala
40 T. De Percin
35 K. Danois

Coach: C. Pélissier

Caen

4-2-3-1
1 A. Mandréa G
4 V. Henry D
61 B. Traoré D
29 R. Thomas D
2 A. Abdi D
20 N. Lebreton M
97 D. Debohi
17 G. Kyeremeh M
21 B. Brahimi M
23 M. Autret M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
15 A. Salama
11 M. Le Bihan
6 Q. Daubin
22 M. Hafid
16 Y. Clémentia
5 S. Ben Youssef
92 A. Coeff

Coach: N. Seube

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,74
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.