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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

S U U T S

3–3

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

45%

34%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

55%

69%

Both score Ø 71%

62%

79%

Average goals

3,1

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

8 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

4 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 6

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Holstein Kiel 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	29	15	12	2	+27	57
2	Stuttgart	30	15	7	8	+14	52
3	Hamburg	29	13	10	6	+20	49
4	Heidenheim	30	13	9	8	+8	48
5	Darmstadt	30	10	13	7	+1	43
6	Hannover	30	11	9	10	+1	42
7	Erzgebirge Aue	30	11	8	11	-2	41
8	Bochum	30	9	12	9	+1	39
9	Sandhausen	30	9	12	9	-1	39
10	Regensburg	30	10	9	11	-3	39
11	Greuther Furth	29	10	8	11	+1	38
12	Holstein Kiel	29	10	8	11	-1	38
13	Osnabruck	30	8	11	11	-3	35
14	St Pauli	30	8	11	11	-4	35
15	Nurnberg	30	7	12	11	-12	33
16	Karlsruhe	30	6	12	12	-12	30
17	Wehen	30	7	7	16	-15	28
18	Dresden	28	7	6	15	-20	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	15	11	2	2	+19	35
2	Erzgebirge Aue	15	10	3	2	+14	33
3	Hamburg	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Heidenheim	15	9	4	2	+15	31
5	St Pauli	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Bielefeld	14	6	7	1	+12	25
7	Bochum	16	6	7	3	+7	25
8	Regensburg	15	7	4	4	+5	25
9	Darmstadt	15	5	9	1	+8	24
10	Greuther Furth	15	7	2	6	+1	23
11	Sandhausen	15	5	7	3	+2	22
12	Hannover	15	4	8	3	+0	20
13	Osnabruck	15	5	4	6	+0	19
14	Karlsruhe	15	4	6	5	-2	18
15	Holstein Kiel	14	4	5	5	-2	17
16	Dresden	14	5	2	7	-4	17
17	Nurnberg	15	3	7	5	-9	16
18	Wehen	15	3	4	8	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	15	9	5	1	+15	32
2	Hannover	15	7	1	7	+1	22
3	Holstein Kiel	15	6	3	6	+1	21
4	Darmstadt	15	5	4	6	-7	19
5	Hamburg	15	3	8	4	+1	17
6	Nurnberg	15	4	5	6	-3	17
7	Sandhausen	15	4	5	6	-3	17
8	Stuttgart	15	4	5	6	-5	17
9	Heidenheim	15	4	5	6	-7	17
10	Osnabruck	15	3	7	5	-3	16
11	Greuther Furth	14	3	6	5	+0	15
12	Wehen	15	4	3	8	-1	15
13	Bochum	14	3	5	6	-6	14
14	Regensburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
15	Karlsruhe	15	2	6	7	-10	12
16	Dresden	14	2	4	8	-16	10
17	St Pauli	15	1	6	8	-13	9
18	Erzgebirge Aue	15	1	5	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.