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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Spezia
U S U U T
0–1
Full-time
Udinese
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
4,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 16. · Udinese 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Inter 3 2 1 0 +6 7
3 Lazio 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Roma 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Venezia 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Sampdoria 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -5 1
17 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Verona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Salernitana 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Genoa 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Udinese
13′
🟨 Ignacio Pussetto
Dimitris Nikolaou 🟨
14′
14′
🟨 Tolgay Arslan
Half-time 0–0
D. Verde 🔁
↦ E. Colley
62′
K. Agudelo 🔁
↦ V. Kovalenko
62′
63′
🔁 J. Makengo
↦ Walace
63′
🔁 Beto
↦ I. Pussetto
M. Bourabia 🔁
↦ J. Sala
71′
81′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ Deulofeu
E. Salcedo 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
86′
A. Reca 🔁
↦ S. Bastoni
86′
87′
🔁 M. Jajalo
↦ T. Arslan
87′
🔁 B. Soppy
↦ N. Molina
89′
L. Samardžić 0–1
J. Makengo
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Spezia

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
7 J. Sala M
43 D. Nikolaou D
20 S. Bastoni D
15 P. Hristov D
21 Salvador Ferrer D
8 V. Kovalenko M
25 G. Maggiore M
19 E. Colley F
11 E. Gyasi F
22 J. Antiste F
Bench (9)
10 D. Verde
33 K. Agudelo
6 M. Bourabia
29 E. Salcedo
13 A. Reca
40 P. Zovko
9 R. Manaj
77 N. Bertola
94 I. Provedel

Coach: T. Motta

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
19 J. Stryger Larsen M
17 B. Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
37 R. Pereyra M
5 T. Arslan M
23 I. Pussetto F
11 Walace M
10 Deulofeu F
Bench (12)
6 J. Makengo
9 Beto
24 L. Samardžić
8 M. Jajalo
93 B. Soppy
87 S. De Maio
45 F. Forestieri
69 S. Ianesi
2 N. Pérez
20 D. Padelli
66 E. Piana
4 M. Zeegelaar

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,12
U
3,45
B ✓
2,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,91
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.